Each party's best raw vote margin counties in previous elections
These are lists of each party's best raw vote margin counties from 1884 on. For most elections, I used 0.1% of the total national popular vote as a cutoff. We could call this a 'major' margin, and counties capable of delivering such a margin (i.e., counties casting at least 0.1% of the total national popular vote), a 'major' county; when the CQ Almanac set 100,000 registered voters as the definition for a population centre after the 1996 election, 0.1% of the national popular vote had been bouncing within 10,000 votes of 100,000 for the last four elections (and within 5,000 for the last two). In some cases, I used a lower threshold, in general because I wanted a longer list than would be afforded by a cutoff of 0.1% (or some other higher cutoff than I used). For the close elections from 1948 through 2012, I wanted more of a basis of comparison than would be afforded by a cutoff of 0.1%.
Each party's single best raw vote margin county is bolded for each election. After the 2020 election, Jacob Alperin-Sheriff listed each party's single best raw vote margin county in every election from 1920 through 2020. Our findings are in agreement with his except as concerns the best Republican raw vote margin county in 1920, 1924, and 1972.
If a state is indicated as 'limited data', that means the individual Wikipedia pages for its counties have information about how the counties voted, but the Wikipedia pages for the states in the given election don't. Some counties in those states may be missed, although I tried to ensure that this was unlikely.
1884 (> 5,030.0725 [0.05%])
Grover Cleveland
Manhattan, NY (43,127) (58.47%-39.54%)
Brooklyn, NY (15,748) (54.83%-42.37%)
Suffolk, MA (11,338) (54.8%-36.9%)
Berks, PA (6,897) (62.6%-36.4%)
James Blaine
Philadelphia, PA (30,000) (58.00%-40.82%)
Allegheny, PA (18,396) (61.96%-31.86%)
Lancaster, PA (9,895) (65.85%-33.02%)
Worcester, MA (8,949) (55.32%-32.47%)
St Lawrence, NY (7,406) (67.9%-30.5%)
Bristol, MA (5,816) (60.0%-31.6%)
Hamilton, OH (5,496) (53.45%-45.87%)
Middlesex, MA (5,448) (48.50%-38.95%)
Cuyahoga, OH (5,288) (55.15%-43.02%)
Essex, MA (5,156) (47.7%-35.6%)
Monroe, NY (5,076) (54.9%-39.7%)
no data for: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, South Carolina, Texas, West Virginia, Wisconsin
limited data for: Michigan, New York, Rhode Island
1888 (> 5,691.66 [0.05%])
Grover Cleveland
Manhattan, NY (55,813) (59.67%-39.20%)
Brooklyn, NY (12,455) (53.58%-45.49%)
Berks, PA (7,479) (62.5%-36.7%)
Suffolk, MA (7,349) (54.6%-44.2%)
Benjamin Harrison
Allegheny, PA (20,408) (63.58%-34.82%)
Philadelphia, PA (18,572) (54.20%-45.16%)
Lancaster, PA (11,481) (66.6%-31.8%)
St Lawrence, NY (8,102) (67.6%-30.1%)
Essex, MA (7,748) (56.7%-40.8%)
Middlesex, MA (7,198) (54.31%-43.38%)
Worcester, MA (7,075) (56.27%-40.35%)
St Louis City, MO (6,255) (53.4%-43.5%)
Onondaga, NY (6,143) (57.7%-40.1%)
Chautauqua, NY (5,930) (62.9%-32.1%)
no data for: Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Jersey, South Carolina, Texas, West Virginia, Wisconsin
limited data for: Indiana, Missouri
1892 (> 6,034.0185 [0.05%])
Grover Cleveland
Manhattan, NY: 76,300 (61.50%-34.73%)
Cook, IL (33,350) (55.33%-42.57%)
Brooklyn, NY: 29,655 (56.78%-39.97%)
Baltimore City, MD (14,606) (57.1%-40.7%)
Suffolk, MA (9,200) (54.7%-43.4%)
Berks, PA (8,525) (64.2%-34.8%)
Jefferson, KY (7,465) (59.2%-38.1%)
Richmond City, VA (6,850) (74.8%-24.2%)
San Francisco, CA (6,606) (53.09%-41.78%)
Dallas, AL (6,392) (78.80%-11.04%)
Benjamin Harrison
Philadelphia, PA (32,215) (57.45%-41.59%)
Allegheny, PA (14,921) (58.33%-39.32%)
Lancaster, PA (9,800) (64.5%-33.1%)
Essex, MA (7,113) (54.5%-41.2%)
St Lawrence, NY (7,021) (64.2%-30.0%)
Worcester, MA (6,333) (54.84%-42.04%)
no data for: Delaware, New Jersey, Texas, West Virginia
limited data for: Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Minnesota, Wisconsin
1896
William McKinley (> 13,936.957 [0.1%])
Philadelphia, PA (113,139) (72.06%-25.86%)
Cook, IL (69,677) (58.43%-40.08%)
Allegheny, PA (47,909) (70.90%-27.56%)
Middlesex, MA (37,690) (71.36%-24.41%)
Brooklyn, NY (32,253) (56.35%-39.70%)
Worcester, MA (24,724) (73.37%-22.38%)
Essex, NJ (22,078) (64.9%-31.3%)
Essex, MA (22,016) (68.6%-27.8%)
Suffolk, MA (21,889) (59.9%-35.5%)
Baltimore City, MD (21,106) (58.1%-38.3%)
Manhattan, NY (20,735) (50.73%-44.00%)
Hamilton, OH (19,584) (59.86%-39.56%)
Lancaster, PA (16,192) (72.7%-24.3%)
St Louis City, MO (15,617) (56.2%-42.8%)
Bristol, MA (15,607) (76.1%-21.2%)
Erie, NY (15,440) (58.57%-38.74%)
Providence, RI (15,200) (66.58%-28.88%)
Fairfield, CT (14,763) (67.91%-26.97%)
William Jennings Bryan (> 4,645.6523 [0.03%])
Arapahoe, CO (36,464) (86.54%-12.33%)
Salt Lake, UT (16,040) (87.75%-12.15%)
El Paso, CO (11,424) (72.84%-25.75%)
Silver Bow, MT (8,717) (88.46%-11.29%)
Pueblo, CO (7,055) (85.39%-13.44%)
Lake, CO (6,263) (96.04%-3.76%)
Jefferson, AL (5,425) (67.6%-26.0%)
Utah, UT (5,336) (78.34%-21.66%)
Boulder, CO (5,013) (83.87%-14.33%)
Weber, UT (4,970) (82.21%-17.79%)
no data for: Delaware, Louisiana, Texas, West Virginia
limited data for: Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota
1900
William McKinley ( > 13,997.426 [0.1%])
Philadelphia, PA (115,478) (73.93%-24.77%)
Allegheny, PA (44,469) (69.94%-26.61%)
Middlesex, MA (20,162) (60.57%-35.97%)
Essex, NJ (19,585) (61.8%-35.1%)
Cook, IL (17,567) (50.80%-46.42%)
Worcester, MA (15,264) (62.84%-33.24%)
Hamilton, OH (15,238) (56.88%-41.25%)
Lancaster, PA (14,793) (71.8%-26.1%)
William Jennings Bryan (> 4,665.8086 [0.03%])
Manhattan, NY (28,785) (52.47%-44.16%)
Arapahoe, CO (8,285) (55.81%-42.11%)
Silver Bow, MT (8,228) (74.19%-23.75%)
Suffolk, MA (6,583) (52.0%-44.8%)
Hudson, NJ (5,679) (52.4%-44.5%)
Berks, PA (5,061) (56.6%-41.5%)
Teller, CO (4,921) (66.27%-32.51%)
no data for: Delaware, Louisiana, Texas, West Virginia
limited data for: Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, New Jersey
1904
Theodore Roosevelt (> 13,525.002 [0.1%])
Philadelphia, PA (178,925) (80.85%-17.32%)
Cook, IL (126,086) (58.49%-26.41%)
Allegheny, PA (69,053) (76.51%-18.19%)
Hamilton, OH (40,193) (66.43%-25.44%)
Cuyahoga, OH (33,165) (62.86%-26.52%)
Wayne, MI (28,845) (69.38%-28.03%)
Hennepin, MN (25,729) (73.71%-13.38%)
Essex, NJ (25,056) (62.7%-31.6%)
Middlesex, MA (22,815) (60.63%-35.80%)
Los Angeles, CA (22,477) (66.50%-20.52%)
San Francisco, CA (21,789) (60.86%-27.55%)
Lancaster, PA (18,991) (76.5%-20.8%)
Essex, MA (18,418) (62.3%-31.3%)
Worcester, MA (17,087) (63.83%-31.87%)
King, WA (15,168) (70.39%-18.14%)
Alameda, CA (14,666) (70.32%-16.23%)
Lucas, OH (14,665) (67.33%-24.26%)
Luzerne, PA (14,291) (64.83%-31.51%)
Monroe, NY (14,228) (60.27%-32.41%)
Milwaukee, WI (14,027) (46.21%-26.32%)
Kent, MI (13,824) (71.63%-22.74%)
Alton Parker (> 3,381.2505 [0.025%])
Manhattan, NY (34,709) (51.54%-42.11%)
Suffolk, MA (8,033) (52.3%-44.1%)
Shelby, TN (6,123) (75.64%-22.32%)
Davidson, TN (5,835) (77.6%-19.0%)
Jefferson, AL (5,334) (80.1%-13.6%)
Queens, NY (4,055) (53.36%-41.44%)
Fulton, GA (4,015) (73.66%-22.50%)
no data for: Delaware, Louisiana, Texas, West Virginia
limited data for: Indiana, Minnesota, Mississippi
1908
William Howard Taft (> 14,889.239 [0.1%])
Philadelphia, PA (109,953) (69.09%-28.09%)
Cook, IL (77,410) (55.51%-36.86%)
Allegheny, PA (38,425) (60.77%-29.25%)
Middlesex, MA (27,310) (61.19%-32.71%)
Wayne, MI (25,452) (63.69%-31.00%)
Essex, NJ (23,496) (61.7%-34.7%)
Brooklyn, NY (23,033) (50.64%-40.90%)
Los Angeles, CA (19,407) (56.77%-30.21%)
Hamilton, OH (18,374) (56.49%-40.22%)
Worcester, MA (17,591) (62.06%-30.32%)
Essex, MA (17,550) (59.2%-30.6%)
Cuyahoga, OH (16,390) (55.39%-39.27%)
Lancaster, PA (15,414) (71.4%-24.6%)
Davidson, TN (5,588) (73.98%-24.23%)
Jackson, MO (4,463) (52.65%-45.18%)
Shelby, TN (4,342) (68.90%-28.53%)
Spartanburg, SC (3,937) (94.76%-5.12%)
Berks, PA (3,739) (52.25%-41.01%)
no data for: Delaware, Louisiana, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Texas, West Virginia
limited data for: Indiana
(It seems likely from later elections that Orleans Parish was Bryan's best raw vote margin county in 1908. It cast 33,029 votes in 1912 and 33,983 votes in 1916, and was Wilson's best raw vote margin county in the former Confederacy in 1912 and nationally in 1916, whereas Jefferson County wasn't in the top ten. Jefferson County cast 10,707 votes in 1908. In 1920, Jefferson County was Cox's best raw vote margin in the country, but it cast 32,939 votes in 1920, whereas Orleans Parish cast 50,543; and he got an unusually low vote share in Orleans Parish [64.7%].)
1912
Woodrow Wilson (> 7,524.417 [0.05%])
Manhattan, NY (67,172) (47.97%-28.58%)
Brooklyn, NY (38,575) (45.05%-29.21%)
Suffolk, MA (21,082) (47.1%-25.5%)
Orleans, LA (25,529 > n ≥ 20,741) (80.03%)
Hudson, NJ (16,361) (52.55%-31.33%)
Baltimore City, MD (14,351) (48.36%-33.91%)
Queens, NY (13,109) (50.52%-26.93%)
St Louis City, MO (12,336) (41.93%-33.14%)
San Francisco, CA (10,343) (48.40%-38.17%)
Cuyahoga, OH (9,786) (42.49%-32.96%)
Milwaukee, WI (9,751) (38.75%-26.99%)
Jackson, MO (9,057) (50.97%-36.64%)
Milwaukee, WI (8,385) (38.75%-26.99%)
Davidson, TN (8,089) (76.25%-11.44%)
Franklin, OH (7,906) (40.81%-25.22%)
...
Jefferson, AL (6,853) (72.69%-16.64%) (included for context)
(In Milwaukee County, Eugene Debs ran second.)
William Howard Taft (> 1,504.8834 [0.01%])
Philadelphia, PA (8,981) (36.53%-32.96%)
Worcester, MA (7,154) (42.06%-29.88%)
Albany, NY (3,183) (47.5%-40.1%)
Saratoga, NY (3,075) (43.7%-36.2%)
Salt Lake, UT (2,223) (35.10%-28.95%)
McDowell, WV (1,844) (46.5%-26.8%)
Jefferson, OH (1,606) (41.85%-27.78%)
Huerfano, CO (1,537) (63.32%-28.74%)
Theodore Roosevelt (> 7,524.417 [0.05%])
Cook, IL (35,359) (38.68%-30.44%)
Los Angeles, CA (20,483) (45.73%-33.34%)
Allegheny, PA (18,600) (39.57%-24.86%)
Wayne, MI (8,081) (39.22%-30.08%)
(I generally don't include third-party candidates, but TR carried the largest county in the country, and seven 'mega- counties' altogether; from 1892 on, the only other third-party candidate to carry so much as one mega county was Robert La Follette, in 1924.)
limited data for: Indiana, Louisiana, Minnesota, South Carolina, Texas, West Virginia
no data for: Mississippi
1916 (> 9,628.2925 [0.05%])
Charles Evans Hughes
Philadelphia, PA (103,363) (66.81%-31.25%)
Cook, IL (56,257) (51.26%-44.64%)
Allegheny, PA (24,650) (55.24%-37.67%)
Los Angeles, CA (21,484) (50.59%-42.58%)
Essex, NJ (19,571) (59.2%-37.8%)
Monroe, NY (17,611) (61.7%-34.1%)
Kane, IL (13,993) (67.7%-28.0%)
Westchester, NY (12,236) (59.43%-38.47%)
Hamilton, OH (12,040) (53.33%-43.30%)
Middlesex, MA (10,958) (53.77%-44.08%)
Lancaster, PA (10,276) (63.4%-31.3%)
St Louis City, MO (9,739) (51.7%-45.7%)
Woodrow Wilson
Orleans, LA (28,405) (91.03%-7.45%)
Manhattan, NY (26,293) (52.55%-42.65%)
Cuyahoga, OH (20,246) (55.50%-39.78%)
Denver, CO (19,844) (62.81%-33.84%)
Suffolk, MA (18,555) (57.5%-40.0%)
San Francisco, CA (15,132) (52.45%-42.30%)
Lucas, OH (14,068) (60.80%-33.01%)
King, WA (13,403) (54.71%-40.71%)
Salt Lake, UT (13,114) (61.18%-35.05%)
Jackson, MO (11,613) (56.4%-41.7%)
Dallas, TX (10,856) (82.51%-15.71%)
Baltimore City, MD (10,421) (53.6%-44.3%)
Douglas, NE (10,239) (59.8%-35.1%)
Franklin, OH (9,996) (57.10%-40.36%)
limited data for: Alabama, Indiana, West Virginia
no data for: Mississippi, South Carolina
1920
Warren Harding (> 26,765.18 [0.1%])
Cook, IL (437,698) (71.12%-22.11%)
Philadelphia, PA (217,675) (73.43%-21.50%)
Brooklyn, NY (173,080) (63.32%-25.88%)
Wayne, MI (168,709) (74.75%-17.55%)
Manhattan, NY (139,764) (59.22%-29.12%)
Los Angeles, CA (122,456) (69.10%-21.59%)
Allegheny, PA (98,630) (69.21%-20.07%)
Middlesex, MA (94,975) (69.90%-27.52%)
Cuyahoga, OH (78,339) (64.36%-30.49%)
Essex, NJ (75,198) (70.9%-25.0%)
Essex, MA (64,497) (71.9%-23.1%)
San Francisco, CA (63,468) (65.18%-22.13%)
Hennepin, MN (61,606) (64.58%-20.63%)
The Bronx, NY (60,309) (56.61%-24.42%)
Erie, NY (59,326) (63.22%-25.63%)
Queens, NY (59,064) (68.71%-25.70%)
St Louis City, MO (57,233) (57.8%-37.5%)
Alameda, CA (51,709) (69.11%-20.27%)
Westchester, NY (47,960) (68.28%-25.20%)
Worcester, MA (46,574) (68.63%-29.29%)
Monroe, NY (45,286) (63.78%-24.65%)
Suffolk, MA (40,537) (58.08%-36.30%)
Hudson, NJ (39,122) (59.58%-36.67%)
Bristol, MA (39,015) (73.65%-23.00%)
Baltimore City, MD (38,778) (57.02%-39.40%)
Norfolk, MA (36,106) (74.69%-22.66%)
Bergen, NJ (35,116) (76.26%-19.90%)
Hamilton, OH (34,992) (57.16%-39.40%)
Onondaga, NY (33,700) (66.25%-27.09%)
Providence, RI (33,699) (61.30%-35.33%)
King, WA (31,816) (54.69%-24.99%)
Passaic, NJ (30,819) (72.08%-20.05%)
Milwaukee, WI (30,496) (51.58%-30.16%)
Fairfield, CT (30,490) (66.48%-29.79%)
New Haven, CT (27,961) (60.23%-34.69%)
Hampden, MA (27,585) (68.92%-28.25%)
Union, NJ (27,306) (72.57%-22.29%)
(In King County, WA, Parley Christensen ran second; in Milwaukee County, Eugene Debs ran second.)
James Cox (> 6,691.295 [0.025%])
Jefferson, AL (17,858) (75.84%-21.63%)
Orleans, LA (14,905) (64.74%-35.26%)
Richmond City, VA (10,363) (75.9%-23.0%)
Dallas, TX (9,406) (67.41%-23.35%)
Tarrant, TX (8,945) (72.66%-20.38%)
Mecklenburg, NC (7,892) (76.78%-23.22%)
Shelby, TN (7,389) (64.35%-34.61%)
Harris, TX (7,073) (51.35%-26.82%)
Duval, FL (7,022) (64.21%-31.18%)
limited data for: South Carolina, West Virginia
no data for: Mississippi
1924
Calvin Coolidge (> 29,097.107 [0.1%])
Cook, IL (462,832) (61.87%-20.31%)
Philadelphia, PA (293,244) (77.73%-12.13%)
Wayne, MI (228,880) (80.11%-11.86%)
Los Angeles, CA (182,426) (65.51%-25.63%)
Middlesex, MA (97,986) (63.68%-25.29%)
Essex, NJ (81,906) (66.2%-22.3%)
Brooklyn, NY (77,970) (47.50%-31.87%)
Hamilton, OH (76,182) (60.70%-20.82%)
Erie, NY (71,290) (58.53%-21.30%)
Allegheny, PA (70,201) (59.01%-31.26%)
Essex, MA (67,283) (66.6%-18.4%)
Worcester, MA (58,508) (67.14%-23.34%)
Westchester, NY (54,065) (63.91%-23.28%)
Monroe, NY (50,316) (57.09%-21.44%)
Bergen, NJ (43,959) (69.41%-19.23%)
St Louis City, MO (43,545) (52.7%-36.2%)
Norfolk, MA (42,934) (71.1%-18.5%)
Queens, NY (42,391) (53.57%-31.04%)
Hennepin, MN (42,274) (59.02%-34.35%)
Denver, CO (41,201) (63.44%-19.20%)
Onondaga, NY (40,622) (64.9%-24.6%)
Alameda, CA (40,020) (61.48%-31.27%)
Fairfield, CT (39,226) (66.22%-21.47%)
Bristol, MA (39,127) (66.2%-22.3%)
Kent, MI (37,225) (76.61%-13.53%)
Summit, OH (36,241) (65.28%-21.29%)
Marion, IN (35,637) (59.13%-36.98%)
Delaware, PA (35,630) (81.80%-12.40%)
Union, NJ (35,618) (67.99%-19.90%)
Franklin, OH (35,386) (57.68%-24.70%)
Montgomery, PA (34,313) (75.48%-18.44%)
Hartford, CT (33,242) (61.93%-28.39%)
New Haven, CT (32,917) (57.40%-30.08%)
Nassau, NY (31,503) (70.47%-22.02%)
Lancaster, PA (30,696) (73.73%-20.83%)
Camden, NJ (30,577) (66.31%-24.20%)
Providence, RI (30,128) (57.24%-38.59%)
Genesee, MI (30,039) (83.82%-10.34%)
Passaic, NJ (29,302) (62.33%-20.23%)
Jefferson, AL (9,455) (63.6%-23.9%) (-Hoover '28)
Tarrant, TX (7,814) (61.73%-26.45%) (-Hoover '28)
Richmond City, VA (7,304) (73.8%-19.4%) (-Hoover '28)
Davidson, TN (6,847) (65.9%-26.2%) (-Hoover '28)
Ellis, TX (6,458) (84.9%-13.5%)
Shelby, TN (6,327) (59.37%-31.95%)
Hunt, TX (5,992) (87.4%-10.7%)
Mecklenburg, NC (5,871) (73.73%-22.46%) (-Hoover '28)
Travis, TX (5,664) (77.06%-19.43%) (-Hoover '28)
Bell, TX (5,641) (76.9%-17.3%) (-Hoover '28)
McLennan, TX (5,498) (73.5%-22.2%) (-Hoover '28)
Grayson, TX (5,440) (71.7%-19.1%) (-Hoover '28)
Navarro, TX (5,412) (85.7%-13.3%)
Wake, NC (5,401) (70.77%-25.14%)
Williamson, TX (5,390) (83.5%-12.3%)
Collin, TX (5,234) (77.04%-21.15%) (-Hoover '28)
Boone, MO (5,110) (70.0%-28.7%)
Graves, KY (4,987) (74.0%-23.2%)
Hill, TX (4,971) (86.4%-12.1%) (-Hoover '28)
Fannin, TX (4,943) (86.6%-10.1%)
limited data for: Alabama, South Carolina, West Virginia
no data for: Mississippi
Of Davis' 24 best raw vote margin counties, 13 voted for Hoover in 1928.
1928 (> 36,807.012 [0.1%])
Herbert Hoover
Los Angeles, CA (303,581) (70.22%-28.71%)
Philadelphia, PA (143,747) (59.99%-39.48%)
Wayne, MI (108,805) (62.30%-36.80%)
Cook, IL (95,780) (52.73%-46.51%)
Alameda, CA (57,664) (65.42%-33.60%)
Allegheny, PA (54,893) (56.86%-42.39%)
Delaware, PA (53,714) (73.6%-26.0%)
Montgomery, PA (53,654) (76.37%-22.93%)
Essex, NJ (50,588) (58.5%-41.0%)
King, WA (49,659) (65.63%-31.77%)
Summit, OH (46,998) (70.86%-28.44%)
Franklin, OH (44,935) (65.86%-33.70%)
Hennepin, MN (44,621) (60.19%-38.79%)
Lancaster, PA (43,384) (81.4%-17.8%)
Camden, NJ (43,366) (69.8%-29.7%)
Dauphin, PA (39,993) (83.8%-15.6%)
Bergen, NJ (38,732) (63.62%-35.96%)
Kent, MI (38,344) (75.1%-24.2%)
Hamilton, OH (37,383) (57.03%-42.58%)
Orleans, LA (41,495) (79.49%-20.51%)
limited data for: West Virginia
no data for: Mississippi, South Carolina
Franklin Roosevelt (> 39,751.898 [0.1%])
Brooklyn, NY (321,636) (66.86%-25.04%)
Wayne, MI (98,008) (57.15%-39.12%)
Jackson, MO (89,242) (67.1%-32.4%)
Baltimore City, MD (81,355) (64.8%-31.9%)
Orleans, LA (79,881) (93.87%-5.95%)
San Francisco, CA (74,084) (64.62%-31.43%)
King, WA (45,392) (59.09%-34.42%)
Philadelphia, PA (70,816) (54.54%-42.88%)
Delaware, PA (42,878) (68.2%-29.4%)
Montgomery, PA (31,648) (64.00%-32.66%)
Norfolk, MA (26,111) (59.2%-38.6%)
Chester, PA (17,385) (69.2%-28.3%)
Essex, NJ (16,964) (51.5%-45.6%)
Nassau, NY (16,792) (54.51%-42.85%)
Union, NJ (16,155) (54.9%-41.8%)
Dauphin, PA (13,866) (60.3%-37.3%)
Chautauqua, NY (13,565) (60.6%-33.6%)
limited data for: West Virginia
no data for: Mississippi, South Carolina
1936
Franklin Roosevelt (> 45,647.699 [0.1%])
Cook, IL (551,958) (62.36%-34.90%)
Brooklyn, NY (525,454) (75.78%-21.85%)
Los Angeles, CA (399,950) (67.00%-31.62%)
Manhattan, NY (342,835) (72.71%-24.51%)
The Bronx, NY (326,474) (79.35%-17.61%)
Wayne, MI (213,323) (64.53%-30.46%)
Philadelphia, PA (209,876) (60.45%-36.94%)
Allegheny, PA (190,369) (65.21%-31.35%)
Cuyahoga, OH (182,170) (65.44%-27.12%)
Hudson, NJ (168,280) (77.7%-21.7%)
Milwaukee, WI (166,701) (74.59%-18.46%)
Queens, NY (157,256) (64.92%-33.02%)
Jackson, MO (136,001) (72.8%-26.8%)
St Louis City, MO (132,176) (65.5%-32.2%)
San Francisco, CA (130,761) (74.04%-24.69%)
Suffolk, MA (127,314) (63.9%-27.6%)
Baltimore City, MD (113,001) (67.9%-31.5%)
Orleans, LA (97,758) (91.3%-8.7%)
King, WA (72,053) (65.98%-31.68%)
Alameda, CA (66,971) (63.63%-35.09%)
Multnomah, OR (65,156) (69.96%-27.18%)
Hennepin, MN (63,083) (58.78%-33.08%)
Shelby, TN (59,391) (96.56%-3.32%)
Ramsey, MN (55,733) (66.00%-23.37%)
Summit, OH (52,845) (68.69%-29.16%)
Harris, TX (51,122) (87.67%-11.97%)
Camden, NJ (50,426) (69.74%-28.99%)
Denver, CO (48,520) (65.09%-33.28%)
St Louis County, MN (47,033) (74.18%-23.88%)
Alf Landon (> 11,411.92475 [0.025%])
Norfolk, MA (24,775) (55.44%-38.80%)
Nassau, NY (20,736) (54.97%-42.96%)
Onondaga, NY (17,553) (55.0%-43.0%)
Suffolk, NY (15,892) (58.07%-39.22%)
St Lawrence, NY (13,268) (65.8%-32.3%)
Oswego, NY (11,735) (66.33%-32.20%)
Plymouth, MA (11,476) (53.8%-39.1%)
limited data for: West Virginia
1940
Franklin Roosevelt (> 49,902.113 [0.1%])
Brooklyn, NY (348,134) (64.83%-34.44%)
Los Angeles, CA (248,452) (58.13%-40.58%)
Cook, IL (229,687) (55.24%-44.38%)
The Bronx, NY (220,638) (67.11%-31.77%)
Manhattan, NY (185,673) (61.45%-37.59%)
Philadephia, PA (177,271) (59.69%-39.81%)
Wayne, MI (175,029) (61.56%-37.67%)
Cuyahoga, OH (138,048) (62.41%-37.59%)
Suffolk, MA (104,658) (63.3%-36.1%)
Allegheny, PA (104,641) (58.01%-41.51%)
Hudson, NJ (100,877) (65.9%-34.0%)
Baltimore City, MD (87,351) (63.2%-35.6%)
Orleans, LA (81,524) (85.63%-14.35%)
Milwaukee, WI (78,741) (59.76%-37.34%)
St Louis City, MO (65,173) (57.98%-41.79%)
San Francisco, CA (63,158) (59.51%-39.26%)
Harris, TX (52,723) (77.84%-22.02%)
Shelby, TN (50,352) (88.61%-11.24%)
Wendell Willkie (> 24,951.0565 [0.05%])
Westchester, NY (72,769) (62.27%-37.49%)
Nassau, NY (70,501) (66.12%-33.67%)
Bergen, NJ (55,047) (63.01%-36.65%)
Queens, NY (35,382) (52.68%-46.91%)
Norfolk, MA (29,871) (58.7%-40.8%)
Suffolk, NY (29,859) (65.12%-34.60%)
Essex, NJ (27,761) (52.9%-44.9%)
limited data for: West Virginia
1944
Franklin Roosevelt (> 47,977.063 [0.1%])
Brooklyn, NY (364,344) (65.46%-34.01%)
Cook, IL (350,708) (57.81%-41.91%)
Manhattan, NY (250,613) (65.90%-33.47%)
Los Angeles, CA (244,811) (56.75%-42.68%)
The Bronx, NY (239,367) (67.74%-31.75%)
Wayne, MI (238,400) (63.38%-36.14%)
Philadelphia, PA (149,987) (58.70%-40.96%)
Cuyahoga, OH (112,835) (60.29%-39.71%)
Suffolk, MA (95,190) (62.6%-37.2%)
Allegheny, PA (89,472) (57.09%-42.52%)
San Francisco, CA (74,446) (60.51%-38.92%)
Hudson, NJ (74,267) (61.9%-37.9%)
St Louis City, MO (70,276) (60.2%-39.5%)
Orleans, LA (70,221) (81.7%-18.3%)
Milwaukee, WI (62,834) (57.85%-40.15%)
Baltimore City, MD (50,676) (59.17%-40.83%)
Providence, RI (50,026) (61.06%-38.80%)
Harris, TX (49,982) (68.27%-20.26%)
(In Harris, TX, unpledged electors nominated by the Texas Regulars ran second.)
Thomas Dewey (> 23,988.5315 [0.05%])
Nassau, NY (81,201) (66.88%-32.88%)
Queens, NY (72,425) (55.33%-44.36%)
Westchester, NY (67,044) (61.71%-38.02%)
Bergen, NJ (66,486) (65.00%-34.74%)
Suffolk, NY (34,419) (67.59%-32.15%)
Montgomery, PA (30,445) (61.71%-37.70%)
Norfolk, MA (27,884) (58.2%-41.6%)
Middlesex, MA (25,849) (52.81%-47.03%)
limited data for: West Virginia
1948
Harry Truman (> 36,595.15125 [0.075%])
Brooklyn, NY (249,428) (53.51%-30.49%)
Cook, IL (200,836) (54.17%-45.23%)
Wayne, MI (167,881) (57.87%-38.03%)
The Bronx, NY (164,085) (54.17%-27.80%)
Suffolk, MA (159,940) (69.0%-27.4%)
Manhattan, NY (138,558) (51.51%-32.75%)
St Louis City, MO (99,998) (64.2%-35.1%)
Allegheny, PA (73,031) (54.89%-42.60%)
Hudson, NJ (71,866) (60.1%-36.5%)
Providence, RI (55,387) (60.73%-38.20%)
Jackson, MO (52,715) (61.4%-38.2%)
Milwaukee, WI (48,965) (54.72%-40.44%)
Bristol, MA (43,525) (61.9%-36.6%)
Cuyahoga, OH (43,069) (52.58%-43.80%)
Ramsey, MN (40,386) (62.84%-34.17%)
Nassau, NY (113,792) (69.48%-26.58%)
Westchester, NY (81,396) (60.93%-32.92%)
Bergen, NJ (73,525) (65.70%-31.84%)
Queens, NY (54,717) (50.58%-42.02%)
Suffolk, NY (46,415) (69.75%-26.88%)
Montgomery, PA (44,464) (66.53%-31.96%)
Delaware, PA (36,256) (60.9%-37.3%)
DuPage, IL (30,266) (73.58%-24.95%)
Norfolk, MA (27,953) (56.7%-40.9%)
Fairfield, CT (27,869) (54.65%-41.81%)
Lancaster, PA (24,998) (67.6%-31.1%)
limited data for: West Virginia
1952
Dwight Eisenhower (> 61,751.942 [0.1%])
Los Angeles, CA (306,999) (56.21%-42.71%)
Nassau, NY (175, 633) (69.83%-29.74%)
Westchester, NY (123,747) (67.38%-32.21%)
Bergen, NJ (119,469) (69.22%-30.37%)
Queens, NY (119,393) (57.11%-41.98%)
San Diego, CA (80,836) (63.50%-35.92%)
Middlesex, MA (79,159) (56.99%-42.72%)
Suffolk, NY (76,450) (74.58%-25.25%)
Hamilton, OH (66,905) (59.60%-40.40%)
Norfolk, MA (66,088) (65.2%-34.5%)
Adlai Stevenson (> 10,291.9903 [0.016%])
Brooklyn, NY (209,521) (58.42%-39.77%)
Wayne, MI (165,865) (57.43%-42.12%)
Philadelphia, PA (160,478) (58.15%-41.40%)
The Bronx, NY (150,579) (60.59%-37.34%)
Manhattan, NY (146,443) (58.47%-39.30%)
St Louis City, MO (91,065) (61.9%-38.0%)
Suffolk, MA (78,810) (59.5%-40.1%)
St Louis County, MN (24,132) (61.0%-37.7%)
Westmoreland, PA (21,145) (57.4%-42.2%)
St Clair, IL (20,598) (60.0%-39.5%)
Washington, PA (19,684) (60.55%-39.16%)
Ramsey, MN (17,690) (54.73%-44.40%)
Fulton, GA (17,262) (59.85%-40.15%)
Lake, IN (16,648) (54.70%-44.66%)
Fayette, PA (16,573) (61.22%-38.12%)
Davidson, TN (15,646) (58.84%-40.99%)
Mahoning, OH (14,558) (56.02%-43.98%)
Madison, IL (14,528) (58.29%-41.60%)
McDowell, WV (13,994) (69.8%-30.2%)
Baltimore City, MD (11,864) (51.01%-47.62%)
Spartanburg, SC (11,855) (68.58%-31.42%)
Allegheny, PA (11,721) (50.60%-49.00%)
Cambria, PA (11,480) (56.26%-43.54%)
Providence, RI (11,395) (51.84%-48.09%)
limited data for: West Virginia
1956
Dwight Eisenhower (> 62,021.328 [0.1%])
Cook, IL (315,402) (56.80%-42.95%)
Los Angeles, CA (252,319) (55.38%-44.29%)
Nassau, NY (205,712) (69.02%-30.89%)
Bergen, NJ (172,165) (75.22%-24.30%)
Westchester, NY (167,049) (72.17%-27.83%)
Queens, NY (147,334) (59.39%-40.61%)
Middlesex, MA (126,457) (61.12%-38.60%)
Erie, NY (125,727) (63.68%-36.32%)
Suffolk, NY (119,482) (77.64%-22.36%)
Fairfield, CT (114,951) (70.19%-29.81%)
Hamilton, OH (108,212) (66.11%-33.89%)
Monroe, NY (92,586) (66.8%-33.2%)
San Diego, CA (89,026) (64.47%-35.15%)
Essex, NJ (88,369) (60.5%-37.7%)
Onondaga, NY (87,934) (73.4%-26.6%)
New Haven, CT (79,007) (63.02%-36.98%)
Union, NJ (78,688) (67.57%-31.21%)
Hudson, NJ (76,821) (61.80%-35.99%)
Norfolk, MA (76,091) (66.41%-33.33%)
Montgomery, PA (74,175) (69.20%-30.69%)
Franklin, OH (72,692) (65.78%-34.22%)
Allegheny, PA (68,950) (54.83%-45.01%)
DuPage, IL (68,731) (79.76%-20.06%)
Marion, IN (63,464) (61.97%-37.78%)
Adlai Stevenson (> 10,336.888 [0.016%])
Wayne, MI (182,835) (57.88%-41.96%)
Philadelphia, PA (123,875) (56.85%-42.97%)
Brooklyn, NY (97,199) (54.77%-45.23%)
The Bronx, NY (86,441) (57.19%-42.81%)
Manhattan, NY (77,852) (55.74%-44.26%)
St Louis City, MO (72,165) (60.9%-39.1%)
Suffolk, MA (28,409) (53.8%-45.8%)
St Louis County, MN (22,288) (60.5%-38.8%)
Davidson, TN (19,745) (59.9%-39.1%)
Fresno, CA (15,623) (56.44%-43.33%)
Sacramento, CA (14,448) (54.73%-45.10%)
DeKalb, GA (14,357) (65.46%-34.48%)
St Clair, IL (13,767) (56.94%-42.77%)
Jackson, MO (11,340) (52.22%-47.78%)
Fulton, GA (11,096) (55.85%-43.95%)
Fayette, PA (10,455) (57.72%-41.97%)
limited data for: West Virginia
1960
John Kennedy (> 51,624.3615 [0.075%])
Wayne, MI (378,842) (65.99%-33.66%)
Philadelphia, PA (331,544) (68.02%-31.79%)
Brooklyn, NY (319,085) (66.16%-33.51%)
Cook, IL (318,736) (56.37%-43.33%)
The Bronx, NY (207,425) (67.88%-31.76%)
Manhattan, NY (197,631) (65.28%-34.19%)
Suffolk, MA (167,073) (74.4%-25.3%)
Cuyahoga, OH (140,974) (59.83%-40.17%)
Middlesex, MA (110,004) (59.01%-40.78%)
Allegheny, PA (107,485) (57.07%-42.76%)
St Louis City, MO (100,988) (66.6%-33.4%)
Providence, RI (97,986) (67.49%-32.51%)
Baltimore City, MD (88,047) (63.9%-36.1%)
Queens, NY (78,660) (54.71%-45.07%)
Milwaukee, WI (70,640) (57.81%-41.96%)
Bristol, MA (65,759) (66.8%-33.0%)
Erie, NY (65,246) (56.62%-43.30%)
Hudson, NJ (60,782) (60.0%-39.1%)
Worcester, MA (60,373) (60.46%-39.37%)
Hartford, CT (58,944) (58.88%-41.12%)
San Francisco, CA (54,733) (57.78%-41.79%)
Lake, IN (54,276) (62.72%-37.04%)
New Haven, CT (51,833) (57.96%-42.04%)
Bergen, NJ (68,804) (58.92%-40.90%)
Orange, CA (62,884) (60.81%-38.95%)
Nassau, NY (60,925) (55.12%-44.76%)
Dallas, TX (60,493) (62.16%-36.99%)
DuPage, IL (56,751) (69.45%-30.43%)
Westchester, NY (53,152) (56.61%-43.21%)
Suffolk, NY (52,611) (59.32%-40.59%)
San Diego, CA (51,797) (56.41%-43.31%)
Franklin, OH (50,895) (59.37%-40.63%)
Montgomery, PA (50,584) (60.68%-39.18%)
Marion, IN (44,866) (57.67%-42.10%)
Pinellas, FL (43,725) (63.68%-36.32%)
Maricopa, AZ (40,256) (59.37%-40.57%)
Oklahoma, OK (38,344) (61.44%-38.56%)
Tulsa, OK (37,174) (63.03%-36.97%)
Hamilton, OH (34,853) (54.50%-45.50%)
1964
Lyndon Johnson (> 70,639.284 [0.1%])
Cook, IL (641,463) (63.18%-36.82%)
Wayne, MI (570,773) (75.97%-23.83%)
Brooklyn, NY (455,548) (74.80%-25.05%)
Philadelphia, PA (430,912) (73.42%-26.24%)
Los Angeles, CA (407,233) (57.43%-42.52%)
Manhattan, NY (383,723) (80.52%-19.20%)
Middlesex, MA (305,061) (76.25%-23.36%)
Cuyahoga, OH (296,475) (71.50%-28.50%)
The Bronx, NY (267,234) (74.69%-25.16%)
Queens, NY (267,067) (66.28%-33.59%)
Allegheny, PA (233,500) (66.03%-33.58%)
Erie, NY (218,948) (73.14%-26.71%)
Suffolk, MA (216,910) (86.2%-13.5%)
Providence, RI (176,033) (83.48%-16.52%)
Baltimore City, MD (164,627) (76.0%-24.0%)
Essex, NJ (160,870) (69.9%-29.3%)
Hartford, CT (151,260) (72.86%-26.95%)
St Louis City, MO (148,354) (77.7%-22.3%)
Worcester, MA (147,995) (77.08%-22.60%)
Alameda, CA (140,835) (66.42%-33.46%)
Milwaukee, WI (138,615) (65.67%-34.12%)
Essex, MA (138,482) (74.3%-25.3%)
San Francisco, CA (137,764) (71.24%-28.71%)
Nassau, NY (133,704) (60.53%-39.37%)
Hudson, NJ (130,536) (73.6%-25.6%)
Monroe, NY (125,127) (71.9%-28.1%)
New Haven, CT (121,087) (69.10%-30.85%)
Norfolk, MA (117,876) (72.8%-26.8%)
Bristol, MA (107,655) (78.7%-21.0%)
Westchester, NY (94,671) (61.98%-37.90%)
Dade, FL (91,461) (64.01%-35.99%)
King, WA (90,618) (59.52%-39.41%)
Hampden, MA (88,786) (74.67%-24.86%)
Oahu, HI (88,323) (78.42%-21.58%)
Middlesex, NJ (87,826) (70.12%-29.39%)
Macomb, MI (86,766) (74.47%-25.31%)
Hennepin, MN (86,284) (60.75%-39.00%)
Santa Clara, CA (84,829) (63.10%-36.63%)
Albany, NY (82,603) (78.03%-21.90%)
Jackson, MO (82,524) (67.19%-32.81%)
Union, NJ (81,990) (66.17%-33.29%)
Multnomah, OR (79,357) (66.07%-33.51%)
St Louis County, MO (78,696) (61.29%-38.71%)
Ramsey, MN (77,050) (69.91%-29.70%)
Bergen, NJ (76,950) (59.69%-40.13%)
Summit, OH (74,319) (67.67%-32.33%)
Harris, TX (73,418) (59.49%-40.32%)
Sacramento, CA (71,797) (65.68%-34.17%)
Orange, CA (47,657) (55.89%-44.01%)
DuPage, IL (32,642) (59.89%-40.11%)
Caddo, LA (32,039) (80.60%-19.40%)
Hinds, MS (31,773) (87.93%-12.07%)
Mobile, AL (29,005) (70.72%-29.28%)
Maricopa, AZ (21,072) (53.94%-46.00%)
Charleston, SC (17,945) (69.06%-30.94%)
Broward, FL (16,858) (55.49%-44.51%)
Ouachita, LA (16,850) (83.44%-16.56%)
Henrico, VA (16,507) (69.59%-30.37%)
Montgomery, AL (15,533) (75.47%-24.53%)
Tulsa, OK (15,286) (55.53%-44.47%)
DeKalb, GA (12,294) (57.10%-42.90%)
Greenville, SC (12,083) (62.96%-37.04%)
1968
Hubert Humphrey (> 54,899.9985 [0.075%])
Wayne, MI (383,591) (63.25%-26.16%)
Philadelphia, PA (271,615) (61.85%-29.90%)
Brooklyn, NY (241,238) (63.12%-31.99%)
Manhattan, NY (235,348) (70.04%-25.59%)
Cook, IL (220,823) (50.56%-41.11%)
Middlesex, MA (182,006) (64.11%-32.60%)
Suffolk, MA (154,454) (75.6%-18.2%)
The Bronx, NY (135,071) (62.40%-32.02%)
Cuyahoga, OH (124,749) (53.95%-35.44%)
Queens, NY (103,926) (53.60%-40.03%)
Allegheny, PA (100,116) (51.12%-37.09%)
Providence, RI (98,926) (67.64%-28.11%)
Baltimore City, MD (98,304) (61.6%-27.7%)
St Louis City, MO (84,758) (64.7%-26.4%)
Erie, NY (82,201) (55.18%-37.04%)
Worcester, MA (80,083) (63.52%-33.32%)
San Francisco, CA (76,539) (59.18%-33.66%)
Alameda, CA (66,260) (53.90%-37.63%)
Norfolk, MA (64,655) (60.30%-36.01%)
Bristol, MA (62,767) (65.06%-30.87%)
Hartford, CT (59,125) (56.19%-38.78%)
Ramsey, MN (58,500) (62.64%-32.75%)
Hampden, MA (55,593) (62.52%-31.31%)
Richard Nixon (> 36,599.999 [0.05%])
Orange, CA (166,036) (63.14%-29.85%)
Suffolk, NY (95,437) (58.18%-32.71%)
San Diego, CA (93,871) (56.26%-36.07%)
DuPage, IL (76,401) (66.61%-25.86%)
Maricopa, AZ (76,058) (59.08%-31.39%)
Bergen, NJ (62,729) (54.45%-39.27%)
Dallas, TX (60,384) (50.66%-34.06%)
Nassau, NY (51,193) (51.27%-43.31%)
Broward, FL (49,509) (54.50%-29.07%)
Tulsa, OK (48,728) (57.11%-22.95%)
Hamilton, OH (48,554) (50.24%-36.95%)
Franklin, OH (47,693) (51.78%-35.20%)
Marion, IN (46,788) (52.26%-37.22%)
Los Angeles, CA (43,229) (47.65%-46.02%)
Pinellas, FL (41,026) (51.71%-32.29%)
Lancaster, PA (40,083) (64.59%-27.58%)
Montgomery, PA (39,157) (54.32%-39.30%)
1972
Richard Nixon (> 77,744.03 [0.1%])
Los Angeles, CA (359,740) (54.75%-42.04%)
Orange, CA (271,444) (68.27%-26.93%)
Nassau, NY (185,892) (63.31%-36.48%)
Suffolk, NY (184,011) (70.34%-29.44%)
Dallas, TX (175,450) (69.53%-29.55%)
Cook, IL (171,039) (53.41%-46.01%)
San Diego, CA (165,172) (61.82%-34.34%)
Harris, TX (149,756) (62.56%-36.94%)
Maricopa, AZ (149,458) (69.29%-26.95%)
Bergen, NJ (138,303) (65.34%-33.68%)
Broward, FL (122,401) (72.41%-27.31%)
Hamilton, OH (120,158) (65.65%-32.67%)
DuPage, IL (115,298) (75.02%-24.83%)
Oakland, MI (112,213) (63.78%-34.16%)
Oklahoma, OK (109,451) (75.2%-22.6%)
Westchester, NY (108,489) (62.83%-36.90%)
Fairfield, CT (108,060) (64.00%-34.34%)
Baltimore County, MD (105,588) (70.3%-28.1%)
Marion, IN (103,899) (66.52%-32.98%)
St Louis County, MO (103,346) (62.16%-37.84%)
Pinellas, FL (102,344) (69.83%-30.02%)
Franklin, OH (102,209) (63.74%-34.09%)
Queens, NY (97,699) (56.34%-43.42%)
Tulsa, OK (92,499) (77.8%-20.3%)
Alleghney, PA (89,241) (55.60%-42.26%)
King, WA (86,198) (56.39%-40.12%)
Tarrant, TX (82,409) (68.55%-31.29%)
Montgomery, PA (81,703) (64.31%-34.06%)
Delaware, PA (81,270) (63.91%-34.30%)
Shelby, TN (80,833) (65.32%-32.71%)
Dade, FL (78,836) (58.87%-40.78%)
Onondaga, NY (78,144) (69.18%-30.58%)
Jefferson, AL (77,807) (68.05%-28.86%)
George McGovern (> 12,957.3383 [0.016%])
Manhattan, NY (175,811) (66.25%-33.38%)
Philadelphia, PA (87,640) (55.07%-43.89%)
Suffolk, MA (80,978) (65.8%-33.7%)
Wayne, MI (79,036) (53.26%-45.08%)
Middlesex, MA (76,279) (55.91%-43.56%)
Alameda, CA (57,392) (55.02%-42.84%)
St Louis City, MO (47,415) (62.3%-37.7%)
The Bronx, NY (46,591) (55.16%-44.60%)
San Francisco, CA (43,421) (56.07%-41.82%)
Dane, WI (23,547) (58.1%-40.9%)
Baltimore City, MD (21,837) (53.4%-45.2%)
St Louis County, MN (19,668) (58.7%-39.8%)
Essex, MA (19,284) (53.0%-46.5%)
Milwaukee, WI (18,928) (50.59%-46.05%)
Bristol, MA (18,773) (54.7%-44.7%)
Worcester, MA (16,579) (52.77%-46.70%)
Norfolk, MA (16,273) (52.6%-46.9%)
Brooklyn, NY (13,865) (50.78%-48.96%)
1976 (> 40,765.792 [0.05%])
Jimmy Carter
Philadelphia, PA (255,579) (66.28%-32.03%)
Brooklyn, NY (228,654) (68.34%-31.08%)
Manhattan, NY (219,736) (73.22%-25.54%)
Wayne, MI (200,179) (60.11%-38.18%)
Cook, IL (193,316) (53.44%-44.69%)
The Bronx, NY (141,944) (70.77%-26.70%)
Queens, NY (135,511) (60.54%-38.95%)
Middlesex, MA (99,875) (55.94%-40.42%)
Baltimore City, MD (96,831) (68.6%-31.4%)
Cuyahoga, OH (93,592) (56.03%-41.01%)
Dade, FL (91,899) (58.06%-40.45%)
Alameda, CA (80,708) (57.89%-38.09%)
Fulton, GA (68,297) (67.84%-32.16%)
Worcester, MA (67,103) (60.41%-36.89%)
Suffolk, MA (61,387) (61.1%-34.7%)
St Louis City, MO (60,336) (67.04%-32.96%)
Milwaukee, WI (57,731) (54.75%-42.09%)
Ramsey, MN (47,202) (58.62%-37.92%)
Los Angeles, CA (46,967) (49.69%-47.78%)
Bristol, MA (46,361) (60.7%-36.5%)
Hennepin, MN (45,488) (53.25%-43.84%)
Summit, OH (43,296) (59.09%-38.41%)
Providence, RI (40,829) (57.96%-41.62%)
Gerald Ford
Orange, CA (176,386) (62.16%-35.33%)
Maricopa, AZ (113,649) (61.66%-34.53%)
DuPage, IL (102,918) (68.77%-28.34%)
San Diego, CA (89,648) (55.74%-41.60%)
Oakland, MI (80,005) (58.69%-39.47%)
Hamilton, OH (75,662) (59.84%-38.41%)
Kent, MI (67,805) (67.2%-31.3%)
Dallas, TX (66,778) (56.65%-42.27%)
Fairfield, CT (61,105) (58.15%-41.18%)
Salt Lake, UT (57,441) (60.35%-36.29%)
Bergen, NJ (56,593) (55.86%-42.54%)
St Louis County, MO (50,073) (54.57%-43.51%)
Franklin, OH (48,021) (55.66%-41.57%)
Tulsa, OK (43,355) (61.63%-37.04%)
Montgomery, PA (42,836) (56.92%-41.24%)
Morris, NJ (42,172) (61.45%-36.98%)
1980
Ronald Reagan (> 86,509.678 [0.1%])
Orange, CA (353,093) (67.90%-22.65%)
Los Angeles, CA (244,703) (50.18%-40.15%)
San Diego, CA (240,500) (60.81%-27.26%)
Maricopa, AZ (196,535) (64.97%-24.60%)
Harris, TX (142,594) (57.87%-38.06%)
Nassau, NY (125,965) (55.97%-34.83%)
Dallas, TX (116,223) (59.18%-36.75%)
DuPage, IL (113,317) (64.02%-24.23%)
Salt Lake, UT (110,939) (67.00%-23.13%)
Suffolk, NY (106,349) (57.00%-33.35%)
Bergen, NJ (92,569) (55.89%-33.60%)
Oakland, MI (88,342) (54.65%-35.58%)
Jimmy Carter (> 14,418.2796 [0.016%])
Cook, IL (268,010) (51.99%-39.60%)
Wayne, MI (206,492) (58.39%-35.30%)
Philadelphia, PA (177,145) (58.66%-33.99%)
Manhattan, NY (159,831) (62.40%-26.23%)
Baltimore City, MD (134,009) (72.5%-21.9%)
The Bronx, NY (94,247) (64.02%-30.70%)
Brooklyn, NY (88,587) (55.44%-38.44%)
St Louis City, MO (63,364) (66.53%-29.45%)
Milwaukee, WI (56,724) (51.76%-39.54%)
Fulton, GA (53,839) (61.62%-33.68%)
Cuyahoga, OH (52,565) (50.02%-41.47%)
San Francisco, CA (52,217) (52.43%-31.87%)
Erie, NY (46,074) (51.20%-40.24%)
Ramsey, MN (45,914) (53.61%-33.88%)
Hennepin, MN (44,694) (47.41%-38.57%)
Alameda, CA (43,189) (48.30%-37.96%)
Providence, RI (40,341) (51.15%-34.88%)
Suffolk, MA (40,145) (52.5%-33.9%)
Davidson, TN (37,969) (59.08%-37.45%)
St Louis County, MN (35,996) (60.52%-29.13%)
Orleans, LA (32,556) (56.87%-39.54%)
Jackson, MO (29,649) (52.86%-41.32%)
Dane, WI (28,064) (50.84%-34.17%)
Essex, NJ (28,059) (50.59%-40.82%)
Allegheny, PA (25,614) (47.87%-43.75%)
Albany, NY (22,075) (51.56%-36.27%)
Prince George's, MD (19,780) (50.91%-40.71%)
Shelby, TN (19.083) (51.61%-45.43%)
Multnomah, OR (18,881) (46.53%-39.23%)
Queens, NY (17,814) (47.98%-44.81%)
Bibb, GA (16,595) (66.01%-31.53%)
1984
Ronald Reagan (> 92,653.233 [0.1%])
Orange, CA (428,741) (74.70%-24.27%)
Los Angeles, CA (265,201) (54.50%-44.35%)
Maricopa, AZ (257,069) (71.98%-27.06%)
San Diego, CA (245,315) (65.30%-33.41%)
Harris, TX (201,894) (61.46%-38.31%)
Dallas, TX (201,852) (66.41%-33.35%)
Suffolk, NY (164,190) (66.03%-33.72%)
Oakland, MI (155,764) (66.71%-32.76%)
DuPage, IL (155,711) (75.66%-23.79%)
Nassau, NY (151,320) (61.83%-37.96%)
St Louis County, MO (134,540) (63.99%-36.01%)
Tarrant, TX (127,903) (67.25%-32.57%)
Fairfield, CT (125,066) (65.78%-33.81%)
Franklin, OH (118,830) (64.12%-33.68%)
Bergen, NJ (113,068) (63.22%-36.50%)
Pinellas, FL (112,038) (65.16%-34.82%)
Hamilton, OH (105,938) (63.34%-36.10%)
San Bernardino, CA (105,617) (64.80%-33.98%)
Salt Lake, UT (105,048) (69.28%-29.63%)
Tulsa, OK (101,275) (72.90%-26.62%)
Dade, FL (100,551) (59.17%-40.83%)
Oklahoma, OK (99,739) (71.65%-26.98%)
Macomb, MI (96,484) (66.20%-33.32%)
Walter Mondale (> 15,442.2055 [0.016%])
Manhattan, NY (235,240) (72.06%-27.39%)
Philadelphia, PA (234,191) (64.94%-34.60%)
Brooklyn, NY (138,454) (61.34%-38.29%)
Wayne, MI (129,241) (57.19%-42.31%)
Baltimore City, MD (122,157) (71.2%-28.2%)
The Bronx, NY (113,804) (66.86%-32.76%)
San Francisco, CA (103,059) (67.35%-31.44%)
Alameda, CA (89,633) (58.65%-40.01%)
Allegheny, PA (87,884) (55.96%-42.76%)
Cuyahoga, OH (78,532) (55.65%-43.60%)
Milwaukee, WI (62,854) (56.58%-42.86%)
Suffolk, MA (61,005) (62.3%-37.4%)
Cook, IL (57,083) (51.02%-48.40%)
St Louis City, MO (51,298) (64.80%-35.20%)
Ramsey, MN (45,956) (59.15%-39.95%)
St Louis County, MN (43,521) (68.83%-30.27%)
Queens, NY (42,902) (53.34%-46.38%)
Prince George's, MD (40,942) (58.59%-40.96%)
Orleans, LA (33,162) (57.90%-41.83%)
Fulton, GA (30,418) (56.89%-43.11%)
Multnomah, OR (24,247) (54.30%-45.17%)
Lake, IN (23,114) (55.10%-44.30%)
Mahoning, OH (23,090) (58.21%-40.65%)
Beaver, PA (22,713) (62.86%-36.79%)
Dane, WI (19,836) (55.46%-43.84%)
Hennepin, MN (18,480) (51.47%-47.98%)
Washington, PA (16,129) (59.24%-40.47%)
1988 (> 68,696.0145 [0.075%])
George H. W. Bush
Orange, CA (317,217) (67.75%-31.09%)
Maricopa, AZ (211,385) (64.90%-33.89%)
San Diego, CA (189,879) (60.19%-38.34%)
DuPage, IL (123,622) (69.39%-30.02%)
Harris, TX (121,298) (57.02%-42.12%)
Suffolk, NY (112,027) (60.51%-38.73%)
Oakland, MI (108,614) (61.27%-37.78%)
Dallas, TX (103,896) (58.38%-40.91%)
Tarrant, TX (91,350) (61.24%-38.19%)
Nassau, NY (87,300) (56.96%-42.22%)
Hamilton, OH (86,650) (61.29%-37.89%)
San Bernardino, CA (84,049) (59.99%-38.55%)
Franklin, OH (78,680) (59.96%-39.11%)
Fairfax, VA (74,930) (61.10%-38.28%)
Fairfield, CT (71,686) (59.04%-39.91%)
Morris, NJ (68,699) (68.05%-31.36%)
Michael Dukakis
Manhattan, NY (269,748) (76.14%-22.89%)
Cook, IL (251,391) (55.77%-43.36%)
Philadelphia, PA (230,513) (66.60%-32.45%)
Brooklyn, NY (184,955) (66.28%-32.60%)
Wayne, MI (158,226) (60.18%-39.03%)
Alameda, CA (147,468) (64.78%-33.99%)
The Bronx, NY (142,202) (73.22%-25.51%)
Los Angeles, CA (132,636) (51.89%-46.88%)
San Francisco, CA (129,384) (72.78%-26.14%)
Allegheny, PA (117,677) (59.51%-39.43%)
Baltimore City, MD (111,724) (73.5%-25.4%)
Cuyahoga, OH (110,962) (58.11%-41.02%)
Queens, NY (108,098) (59.47%-39.70%)
Milwaukee, WI (99,924) (61.04%-38.30%)
Middlesex, MA (71,211) (54.57%-43.82%)
St Louis City, MO (69,170) (72.55%-26.96%)
1992
Bill Clinton (> 104,423.923 [0.1%])
Los Angeles, CA (646,922) (52.54%-29.04%)
Cook, IL (644,233) (58.21%-28.20%)
Manhattan, NY (331,641) (78.20%-15.88%)
Philadelphia, PA (301,576) (68.16%-20.90%)
Wayne, MI (281,462) (60.39%-26.96%)
Brooklyn, NY (277,839) (70.70%-22.93%)
Alameda, CA (224,932) (63.04%-20.62%)
Queens, NY (191,959) (62.87%-28.34%)
King, WA (178,064) (50.23%-27.36%)
San Francisco, CA (175,911) (72.40%-17.80%)
The Bronx, NY (161,728) (73.67%-20.73%)
Cuyahoga, OH (150,362) (52.72%-29.24%)
Middlesex, MA (150,291) (49.89%-28.10%)
Baltimore City, MD (145,028) (75.8%-16.6%)
Allegheny, PA (140,969) (52.75%-29.80%)
Santa Clara, CA (125,395) (49.21%-28.38%)
Broward, FL (111,529) (51.85%-30.92%)
Prince George's, MD (105,736) (65.67%-24.51%)
George H. W. Bush (> 34,807.9743 [0.03%])
Orange, CA (119,683) (43.87%-31.56%)
Maricopa, AZ (74,592) (41.06%-32.56%)
DuPage, IL (63,707) (48.05%-30.88%)
Oklahoma, OK (50,517) (48.8%-29.3%)
Harris, TX (46,607) (43.14%-38.20%)
Tulsa, OK (46,300) (49.1%-29.8%)
Lancaster, PA (44,192) (55.2%-27.6%)
Hamilton, OH (44,038) (47.70%-36.79%)
Waukesha, WI (41,191) (51.0%-28.1%)
Morris, NJ (40,838) (51.8%-32.3%)
El Paso, CO (40,217) (51.5%-27.4%)
Cobb, GA (39,774) (52.6%-32.5%)
Gwinnett, GA (37,569) (54.34%-29.39%)
Utah, UT (36,840) (56.76%-22.70%)
Jefferson, LA (36,191) (53.7%-34.4%)
(George H. W. Bush won three counties by over 0.05% of the national vote in 1992 [52,211.9615 votes]: Orange, CA, Maricopa, and DuPage.)
1996
Bill Clinton (> 96,277.634 [0.1%])
Cook County, IL (691,732) (66.79%-26.73%)
Los Angeles, CA (684,085) (59.34%-30.96%)
Brooklyn, NY (350,826) (80.07%-15.08%)
Wayne, MI (328,580) (68.95%-24.04%)
Philadelphia, PA (327,643) (77.44%-16.00%)
Manhattan, NY (326,292) (79.96%-13.76%)
Queens, NY (265,275) (72.94%-21.05%)
Middlesex, MA (228,264) (63.41%-27.06%)
The Bronx, NY (217,841) (85.80%-10.52%)
Alameda, CA (197,322) (65.77%-23.07%)
King, WA (185,035) (56.38%-31.41%)
Broward, FL (177,909) (63.51%-28.29%)
Cuyahoga, OH (177,587) (60.75%-29.15%)
San Francisco, CA (164,298) (72.24%-15.66%)
Santa Clara, CA (129,348) (56.88%-32.16%)
Prince George's, MD (123,915) (73.50%-21.93%)
Baltimore City, MD (116,974) (79.34%-15.53%)
Hennepin, MN (111,239) (54.38%-33.17%)
Essex, NJ (110,206) (68.99%-25.63%)
Dade, FL (107,815) (57.34%-37.87%)
Nassau, NY (106,767) (55.74%-36.14%)
Suffolk, MA (105,833) (73.0%-19.9%)
Orleans, LA (105,144) (76.20%-20.84%)
Milwaukee, WI (97,213) (58.33%-32.15%)
Palm Beach, FL (96,876) (58.06%-33.68%)
Bob Dole (> 32,092.5446 [0.03%])
Orange, CA (119,232) (51.67%-37.88%)
Utah, UT (51,362) (71.1%-18.7%)
El Paso, CO (46,851) (59.0%-32.2%)
Collin, TX (45,896) (63.01%-28.48%)
Lancaster, PA (43,755) (59.8%-31.6%)
Gwinnett, GA (42,791) (59.29%-33.03%)
Johnson, KS (42,239) (57.8%-35.7%)
Cobb, GA (40,438) (56.9%-36.8%)
Oklahoma, OK (39,991) (54.7%-36.5%)
Tarrant, TX (37,881) (50.85%-41.60%)
Kent, MI (35,423) (54.3%-38.5%)
DuPage, IL (34,921) (50.74%-39.97%)
Harris, TX (34,736) (49.24%-45.18%)
Ottawa, MI (34,412) (64.4%-28.3%)
Waukesha, WI (34,375) (55.4%-34.7%)
Tulsa, OK (34,319) (53.7%-37.1%)
Sedgwick, KS (33,754) (56.1%-35.8%)
(Bob Dole won two counties by over 0.05% of the national vote [48,138.817 votes]: Orange, CA and Utah, UT.)
2000
Al Gore (> 79,066.06725 [0.075%])
Los Angeles, CA (838,575) (63.47%-32.35%)
Cook, IL (746,005) (68.63%-28.65%)
Brooklyn, NY (382,047) (80.60%-15.65%)
Manhattan, NY (350,383) (79.60%-14.38%)
Philadelphia, PA (348,223) (80.04%-17.99%)
Wayne, MI (307,393) (69.01%-29.02%)
Queens, NY (287,539) (75.00%-21.95%)
Alameda, CA (223,610) (69.36%-24.13%)
The Bronx, NY (223,098) (86.28%-11.77%)
Broward, FL (209,821) (67.41%-30.93%)
Middlesex, MA (205,129) (61.49%-30.27%)
King, WA (203,529) (60.02%-34.40%)
San Francisco, CA (190,082) (75.54%-16.10%)
Cuyahoga, OH (167,814) (62.62%-33.42%)
Prince George's, MD (166,132) (79.48%-18.38%)
Santa Clara, CA (143,740) (60.66%-34.44%)
Baltimore City, MD (131,615) (82.5%-14.1%)
Essex, NJ (118,663) (71.5%-25.8%)
Nassau, NY (117,028) (57.96%-38.46%)
Palm Beach, FL (116,790) (62.27%-35.31%)
Suffolk, MA (110,447) (71.4%-20.5%)
Montgomery, MD (107,873) (62.54%-33.52%)
Multnomah, OR (104,764) (63.5%-28.2%)
Orleans, LA (98,226) (76.0%-21.7%)
DeKalb, GA (95,702) (70.2%-26.7%)
Allegheny, PA (94,602) (56.65%-40.41%)
Hartford, CT (93,699) (60.17%-34.68%)
Milwaukee, WI (88,838) (58.20%-37.71%)
San Mateo, CA (86,461) (64.29%-30.96%)
Contra Costa, CA (82,965) (58.81%-37.06%)
Hennepin, MN (81,942) (53.60%-39.32%)
Norfolk, MA (81,417) (59.41%-33.75%)
Providence, RI (81,091) (65.26%-28.12%)
Erie, NY (80,000) (56.55%-37.72%)
George W. Bush (> 52,710.7115 [0.05%])
Orange, CA (149,480) (55.75%-40.36%)
Tarrant, TX (113,163) (60.74%-36.78%)
Harris, TX (110,892) (54.28%-42.91%)
Maricopa, AZ (93,284) (53.23%-42.88%)
Collin, TX (85,295) (73.07%-24.45%)
Utah, UT (81,810) (81.7%-13.7%)
Waukesha, WI (68,786) (65.3%-31.6%)
El Paso, CO (66,495) (63.9%-30.8%)
Salt Lake, UT (64,009) (55.84%-35.01%)
Denton, TX (62,027) (69.60%-27.35%)
Lancaster, PA (60,932) (66.1%-31.3%)
Gwinnett, GA (60,322) (63.71%-32.15%)
Oklahoma, OK (57,488) (62.3%-36.6%)
Montgomery, TX (57,314) (75.9%-21.9%)
Cobb, GA (53,818) (59.8%-36.9%)
Kent, MI (53,160) (59.4%-38.1%)
2004
John Kerry (> 91,721.50875 [0.075%])
Cook, IL (842,319) (70.25%-29.15%)
Los Angeles, CA (831,511) (63.10%-35.60%)
Manhattan, NY (419,360) (82.06%-16.73%)
Philadelphia, PA (412,106) (80.44%-19.30%)
Brooklyn, NY (347,824) (74.86%-24.30%)
Wayne, MI (342,297) (69.39%-29.81%)
Alameda, CA (291,674) (75.18%-23.29%)
King, WA (279,335) (64.87%-33.65%)
Queens, NY (267,881) (71.66%-27.41%)
San Francisco, CA (242,417) (83.02%-15.21%)
Cuyahoga, OH (226,880) (66.57%-32.89%)
The Bronx, NY (227,293) (82.80%-16.53%)
Broward, FL (209,199) (64.21%-34.61%)
Prince George's, MD (205,000) (81.81%-17.44%)
Middlesex, MA (203,047) (63.99%-34.52%)
Santa Clara, CA (177,006) (63.94%-34.63%)
Multnomah, OR (161,146) (71.6%-27.1%)
Baltimore City, MD (138,792) (82.0%-14.1%)
Montgomery, MD (137,602) (65.97%-32.83%)
Hennepin, MN (128,708) (59.33%-39.43%)
Suffolk, MA (127,669) (75.9%-22.8%)
DeKalb, GA (127,217) (72.6%-26.6%)
Essex, NJ (120,487) (70.4%-28.8%)
Milwaukee, WI (117,366) (61.72%-37.39%)
Palm Beach, FL (115,999) (60.35%-39.05%)
San Mateo, CA (114,607) (69.48%-29.25%)
Orleans, LA (109,763) (77.4%-21.7%)
Contra Costa, CA (106,646) (62.28%-36.46%)
Allegheny, PA (96,987) (57.15%-42.13%)
Denver, CO (96,232) (69.61%-29.29%)
George W. Bush (> 61,147.6725 [0.05%])
Orange, CA (222,593) (59.68%-38.98%)
Maricopa, AZ (174,606) (56.97%-42.33%)
Tarrant, TX (142,176) (62.39%-37.01%)
Utah, UT (110,912) (85.99%-11.64%)
Harris, TX (108,858) (54.75%-44.56%)
Collin, TX (105,500) (71.15%-28.12%)
Riverside, CA (93,667) (57.83%-41.04%)
El Paso, CO (83,713) (66.7%-32.1%)
Denton, TX (81,545) (69.95%-29.47%)
Waukesha, WI (81,300) (67.3%-32.0%)
Salt Lake, UT (79,779) (59.57%-37.54%)
Gwinnett, GA (78,737) (65.66%-33.44%)
Oklahoma, OK (77,424) (64.2%-35.8%)
Montgomery, TX (76,026) (78.1%-21.4%)
Tulsa, OK (73,230) (64.4%-35.6%)
Kern, CA (71,814) (66.49%-32.49%)
Lancaster, PA (71,263) (65.80%-33.59%)
San Diego, CA (69,596) (52.45%-46.33%)
Cobb, GA (69,512) (61.9%-37.1%)
Davis, UT (65,294) (78.9%-19.1%)
Duval, FL (61,580) (57.78%-41.62%)
San Bernardino, CA (61,517) (55.29%-43.53%)
2008
Barack Obama (> 131,313.82 [0.1%])
Los Angeles, CA (1,339,428) (69.19%-28.82%)
Cook, IL (1,141,288) (76.21%-22.82%)
Manhattan, NY (482,220) (85.70%-13.47%)
Philadelphia, PA (478,759) (83.00%-16.33%)
Brooklyn, NY (451,653) (79.43%-19.99%)
Wayne, MI (440,503) (74.02%-24.62%)
King, WA (388,514) (69.97%-28.03%)
Alameda, CA (369,551) (78.52%-19.19%)
Queens, NY (325,471) (75.09%-24.25%)
The Bronx, NY (296,578) (88.71%-10.93%)
Prince George's, MD (293,563) (88.87%-10.38%)
Santa Clara, CA (272,202) (69.45%-28.55%)
San Francisco, CA (269,928) (84.16%-13.66%)
Cuyahoga, OH (258,340) (68.70%-29.95%)
Broward, FL (254,911) (67.02%-32.34%)
Middlesex, MA (218,718) (63.98%-33.85%)
Multnomah, OR (204,525) (76.7%-20.6%)
Montgomery, MD (195,836) (71.58%-27.00%)
Hennepin, MN (189,904) (63.42%-34.81%)
DeKalb, GA (189,013) (78.8%-20.3%)
Baltimore City, MD (185,704) (87.2%-11.7%)
Contra Costa, CA (170,547) (67.73%-30.10%)
Milwaukee, WI (170,374) (67.30%-31.45%)
Essex, NJ (166,331) (75.9%-23.4%)
Suffolk, MA (149,934) (76.9%-21.2%)
San Mateo, CA (147,769) (73.5%-24.8%)
Denver, CO (142,315) (75.5%-23.0%)
Fulton, GA (141,864) (67.06%-32.08%)
Dade, FL (139,280) (57.81%-41.70%)
Palm Beach, FL (135,234) (61.08%-38.22%)
Dane, WI (132,919) (72.8%-25.8%)
John McCain (> 43,771.273 [0.03%])
Maricopa, AZ (144,282) (54.07%-43.62%)
Utah, UT (92,657) (77.7%-18.8%)
Montgomery, TX (83,181) (75.8%-23.2%)
Collin, TX (75,850) (62.16%-36.56%)
Tarrant, TX (73,540) (55.43%-43.73%)
Tulsa, OK (62,230) (62.2%-37.8%)
Waukesha, WI (59,813) (62.3%-36.6%)
Denton, TX (58,775) (61.63%-37.47%)
St Tammany, LA (58,482) (75.8%-22.5%)
El Paso, CO (51,419) (58.7%-39.9%)
Ocean, NJ (50,488) (58.4%-40.1%)
Shelby, AL (48,435) (76.2%-22.8%)
Jefferson, LA (48,095) (62.5%-35.9%)
Cherokee, GA (47,929) (74.8%-23.8%)
Oklahoma, OK (46,966) (58.4%-41.6%)
Davis, UT (46,864) (69.7%-27.5%)
Greenville, SC (45,477) (61.0%-37.2%)
(McCain won five counties by over 0.05% of the national popular vote [65,656.91 votes]: Maricopa, Utah County, UT, and Montgomery, Collin, and Tarrant Counties, Texas.)
2012
Barack Obama (> 96,814.0575 [0.075%])
Los Angeles, CA (1,331,570) (69.69%-27.83%)
Cook, IL (992,995) (73.88%-24.59%)
Philadelphia, PA (492,339) (85.24%-13.97%)
Brooklyn, NY (479,892) (82.02%-16.90%)
Manhattan, NY (413,115) (83.74%-14.92%)
King, WA (392,304) (68.72%-28.36%)
Wayne, MI (382,032) (72.83%-26.13%)
Alameda, CA (361,502) (78.69%-18.12%)
Queens, NY (352,143) (79.08%-19.92%)
Prince George's, MD (312,204) (89.73%-9.22%)
The Bronx, NY (309,244) (91.45%-8.08%)
Santa Clara, CA (275,975) (69.97%-27.14%)
Broward, FL (264,211) (67.12%-32.23%)
Cuyahoga, OH (256,581) (69.32%-29.55%)
San Francisco, CA (254,647) (83.40%-13.01%)
Dade, FL (208,459) (61.58%-37.87%)
Middlesex, MA (204,483) (62.56%-35.45%)
Montgomery, MD (200,047) (70.92%-27.05%)
Multnomah, OR (199,585) (75.4%-20.6%)
Baltimore City, MD (193,307) (87.2%-11.1%)
Hennepin, MN (183,906) (62.34%-35.30%)
Milwaukee, WI (177,514) (67.49%-31.45%)
DeKalb, GA (173,832) (77.6%-20.9%)
Essex, NJ (172,212) (78.0%-21.3%)
Suffolk, MA (163,897) (77.5%-20.8%)
Contra Costa, CA (154,307) (66.23%-31.09%)
Denver, CO (148,907) (73.4%-24.2%)
San Mateo, CA (133,329) (72.1%-25.5%)
Dane, WI (132,427) (71.0%-27.5%)
Franklin, OH (130,349) (60.53%-37.75%)
Fulton, GA (118,346) (64.13%-34.42%)
Oahu, HI (115,830) (68.86%-29.81%)
Hudson, NJ (110,739) (77.5%-21.4%)
Dallas, TX (109,758) (56.99%-41.57%)
Fairfax, VA (108,500) (59.57%-39.07%)
Palm Beach, FL (102,253) (58.14%-41.13%)
Hartford, CT (101,401) (62.37%-36.52%)
Clark, NV (100,883) (56.42%-41.82%)
Mecklenburg, NC (100,594) (60.65%-38.24%)
Sonoma, CA (99,158) (71.1%-25.3%)
Orleans, LA (98,232) (80.26%-17.79%)
Ramsey, MN (98,137) (66.33%-31.13%)
Sacramento, CA (97,989) (58.1%-39.2%)
Westchester, NY (97,663) (61.99%-36.84%)
Mitt Romney (> 64,542.705 [0.05%])
Maricopa, AZ (147,597) (53.92%-43.30%)
Utah, UT (139,669) (88.32%-9.72%)
Montgomery, TX (105,049) (79.70%-19.02%)
Tarrant, TX (95,849) (57.12%-41.43%)
Collin, TX (95,473) (64.86%-33.41%)
Waukesha, WI (84,019) (66.8%-32.3%)
Salt Lake, UT (77,664) (58.26%-38.04%) (-HRC '16)
Denton, TX (76,601) (64.91%-33.35%)
Davis, UT (74,972) (80.005%-18.1%)
Orange, CA (69,892) (51.87%-45.65%) (-HRC '16)
Even though Hillary Clinton flipped only 17 counties in 2016, two of them were amongst Romney's ten best raw vote margin counties in 2012.
2016
Hillary Clinton (> 136,669.276 [0.1%])
Los Angeles, CA (1,694,621) (71.76%-22.41%)
Cook, IL (1,156,659) (73.93%-20.79%)
Manhattan, NY (514,083) (86.56%-9.71%)
King, WA (501,983) (69.85%-21.04%)
Brooklyn, NY (499,509) (79.51%-17.51%)
Philadelphia, PA (475,277) (82.30%-15.32%)
Alameda, CA (418,920) (78.06%-14.54%)
Queens, NY (367,879) (75.35%-21.76%)
Santa Clara, CA (366,858) (72.71%-20.58%)
The Bronx, NY (315,849) (88.52%-9.46%)
Prince George's, MD (311,238) (88.13%-8.40%)
San Francisco, CA (307,396) (84.47%-9.22%)
Middlesex, MA (300,567) (65.31%-27.59%)
Broward, FL (292,369) (66.08%-31.16%)
Wayne, MI (290,451) (66.36%-29.26%)
Dade, FL (290,147) (63.22%-33.83%)
Montgomery, MD (265,133) (74.72%-19.36%)
San Diego, CA (257,710) (56.30%-36.57%)
Hennepin, MN (237,518) (63.13%-28.20%)
Multnomah, OR (224,607) (73.3%-17.0%)
Cuyahoga, OH (214,060) (65.41%-30.25%)
Contra Costa, CA (203,331) (67.50%-24.51%)
DeKalb, GA (199,902) (79.1%-16.2%)
Dallas, TX (198,135) (60.22%-34.34%)
Fairfax, VA (197,423) (64.43%-28.61%)
Suffolk, MA (195,330) (78.4%-16.1%)
Denver, CO (181,861) (73.7%-18.9%)
Travis, TX (181,051) (65.77%-27.14%)
San Mateo, CA (179,953) (75.7%-18.4%)
Fulton, GA (179,268) (67.70%-26.85%)
Essex, NJ (177,661) (77.0%-20.2%)
Baltimore City, MD (177,468) (84.7%-10.5%)
Milwaukee, WI (162,753) (65.48%-28.58%)
Harris, TX (161,959) (53.95%-41.61%)
Franklin, OH (151,867) (59.78%-33.93%)
Dane, WI (146,422) (71.4%-23.0%)
Westchester, NY (141,688) (64.88%-31.20%)
Mecklenburg, NC (139,044) (62.29%-32.89%)
Donald Trump (> 45,556.4253 [0.03%])
Montgomery, TX (104,479) (73.46%-22.40%)
Ocean, NJ (91,929) (64.7%-31.5%)
El Paso, CO (71,218) (56.2%-33.9%)
Lee, FL (66,643) (58.1%-37.9%)
Waukesha, WI (63,319) (59.995%-33.3%)
St Tammany, LA (63,198) (73.1%-22.3%)
Brevard, FL (62,169) (57.1%-37.6%)
Collin, TX (60,390) (55.16%-38.59%)
York, PA (60,004) (61.8%-32.9%)
Denton, TX (59,713) (57.13%-37.13%)
Tarrant, TX (57,529) (51.74%-43.14%)
Westmoreland, PA (56,853) (63.502%-32.5%)
Tulsa, OK (56,411) (58.4%-35.6%)
Cherokee, GA (55,418) (71.5%-22.4%)
Baldwin, AL (54,425) (76.6%-19.4%)
Greenville, SC (53,349) (59.4%-34.6%)
St Charles, MO (53,024) (59.9%-33.8%)
Pasco, FL (51,959) (58.4%-37.0%)
Shelby, AL (50,043) (72.1%-22.7%)
Horry, SC (49,878) (67.2%-29.7%)
Macomb, MI (48,348) (53.58%-42.05%)
Butler, OH (48,334) (61.13%-33.51%)
Okaloosa, FL (48,113) (70.4%-23.3%)
Clay, FL (47,141) (69.9%-25.9%)
Santa Rosa, FL (46,875) (73.7%-20.8%)
Lancaster, PA (46,821) (56.3%-37.2%)
Suffolk, NY (46,619) (51.46%-44.62%)
Forsyth, GA (46,389) (70.6%-23.7%)
Marion, FL (45,792) (61.3%-35.3%)
St Johns, FL (45,585) (64.3%-31.3%)
(Trump won only three counties by over 0.05% of the national popular vote [68,334.638 votes]: Montgomery, TX, Ocean, NJ, and El Paso, CO.)
2020
Joe Biden (> 158,383.403 [0.1%])
Los Angeles, CA (1,883,355) (71.03%-26.86%)
Cook, IL (1,167,704) (74.22%-24.01%)
King, WA (638,143) (74.95%-22.24%)
Manhattan, NY (517,855) (86.42%-12.21%)
Brooklyn, NY (500,538) (76.78%-22.14%)
Alameda, CA (481,350) (79.81%-17.61%)
Philadelphia, PA (471,050) (81.21%-17.86%)
Santa Clara, CA (403,355) (72.64%-25.23%)
Middlesex, MA (390,240) (71.47%-26.28%)
San Diego, CA (364,556) (60.21%-37.46%)
Queens, NY (356,373) (72.03%-26.92%)
Prince George's, MD (342,118) (89.26%-8.73%)
Wayne, MI (332,617) (68.32%-30.27%)
Hennepin, MN (326,650) (70.46%-27.25%)
San Francisco, CA (321,739) (85.26%-12.72%)
Montgomery, MD (318,347) (78.61%-18.96%)
Dallas, TX (291,500) (64.89%-33.29%)
The Bronx, NY (287,634) (83.29%-15.88%)
Broward, FL (285,343) (64.48%-34.74%)
Multnomah, OR (284,254) (79.21%-17.90%)
Travis, TX (274,523) (71.41%-26.43%)
Contra Costa, CA (263,509) (71.63%-26.30%)
Fairfax, VA (251,542) (69.89%-28.03%)
DeKalb, GA (249,854) (83.1%-15.7%)
Fulton, GA (243,904) (72.57%-26.20%)
Denver, CO (241,675) (79.55%-18.19%)
Harris, TX (217,563) (55.96%-42.70%)
San Mateo, CA (215,847) (77.89%-20.20%)
Cuyahoga, OH (213,477) (66.36%-32.32%)
Suffolk, MA (211,909) (80.6%-17.5%)
Mecklenburg, NC (198,896) (66.68%-31.60%)
Franklin, OH (197,907) (64.68%-33.40%)
Essex, NJ (191,345) (77.3%-21.9%)
Milwaukee, WI (182,913) (69.07%-29.25%)
Baltimore City, MD (181,886) (87.3%-10.7%)
Dane, WI (181,385) (75.4%-22.8%)
Sacramento, CA (181,403) (61.36%-36.11%)
Westchester, NY (167,658) (67.57%-31.30%)
Wake, NC (167,139) (62.25%-35.80%)
Donald Trump (> 52,794.4676 [0.03%])
Montgomery, TX (119,005) (71.22%-27.39%)
Utah, UT (116,779) (67.78%-26.73%)
Ocean, NJ (98,274) (63.5%-34.9%)
Lee, FL (75,552) (59.0%-39.9%)
St Tammany, LA (61,920) (71.1%-26.9%)
Pasco, FL (60,548) (59.3%-39.3%)
Horry, SC (59,641) (66.1%-32.9%)
Brevard, FL (59,334) (57.4%-41.0%)
Baldwin, AL (58,966) (76.2%-22.4%)
York, PA (58,619) (61.3%-36.8%)
Westmoreland, PA (58,089) (63.458%-35.2%)
Cherokee, GA (56,793) (68.8%-29.5%)
Waukesha, WI (55,743) (59.6%-38.8%)
Mohave, AZ (53,704) (74.9%-23.7%)
Marion, FL (52,968) (62.4%-36.6%)
(Again, Trump won only three counties by over 0.05% of the national popular vote [79,191.7015 votes]: Montgomery, TX, Utah, UT, and Ocean, NJ.)
---
In 1960 (nat'l margin 0.17%) and 2000 (nat'l margin 0.51%), the national popular vote winner's national margin could be accounted for in one county: Kennedy's, in any one of Wayne, MI, Philadelphia, PA, Brooklyn, NY, Cook, IL, The Bronx, NY, Manhattan, NY, Suffolk, MA, or Cuyahoga, OH; and Gore's, in either of Los Angeles, CA or Cook, IL. As far as I am aware, these are the only two elections thus far of which this has been the case.
---
The Republican Party has generally had a history of having a stable best raw vote margin county. It was Orange County, CA for eight elections in a row, from 1976 through 2004 (and, barring LA County, which gave Nixon a larger raw vote margin in 1972 despite being less Republican than the country, for ten elections in a row from 1968 through 2004). Orange County has served as the best raw vote margin county for six distinct Republican nominees: Nixon, Ford, Reagan, Bush Sr, Dole, and W Bush.
It was Philadelphia County for seven elections in a row, from 1892 through 1916--more times in a row than any county has been the best Democratic raw vote margin county (from 1892 on). It was also the best raw vote margin county for more Republican nominees--Harrison, McKinley, Theodore Roosevelt, Taft, Hughes, and Hoover--than any one county (with one exception) has been for the Democrats (from 1892 on).
(It may have well been Blaine's best raw vote margin county in 1884, as well as earlier Republicans' as well, but there are too many large counties for which we have no information before 1892--especially Cook County, which Blaine carried in 1884--for us to be able to say with a high degree of assurance that a given county was a given nominee's best raw vote margin county.)
The most times--thus far--that a county has been the best Democratic raw vote margin county in a row (from 1892 on) has been four (Brooklyn, from 1940 through 1952, and LA County from 2008 through 2020). (Brooklyn was the Democrats' best raw vote margin county from 1928 through 1952, and Wayne County, from 1956 through 1968, save Cook County in 1936 and 1964--but, unlike LA County for Nixon in 1972, Cook County was more Democratic than the country in both 1936 and 1964.) The most Democratic nominees that a single county has been the best raw vote margin county for (from 1892 on) is seven (Manhattan, for Cleveland, Bryan, Parker, Wilson, McGovern, Mondale, and Dukakis), which is more than Orange County (or possibly Philadelphia County) has been for Republicans. But these were disproportionately landslide losers (Parker, McGovern, and Mondale), and there was a 60 year gap between when it was Wilson's best raw vote margin county in 1912 and McGovern's in 1972.
Aside from that, the most Democratic nominees for whom a given county has been the best raw vote margin county is five (LA County, for Bill Clinton, Gore, Obama, Hillary Clinton, and Biden, and Cook County, for FDR, LBJ, Carter, Bill Clinton, and Kerry). Until 1980, Cook County was the best Democratic raw vote margin county only on two landslide occasions (and, while it was more Democratic than the nation on both occasions, but was substantially less Democratic than the more habitual best Democratic raw vote margin county of the time--Brooklyn in 1936, Wayne County in 1964--on both occasions).
Nassau County, NY was the best Republican raw vote margin county in 1944 and 1948, and was the best, barring LA County in 1952 and Cook and LA Counties in 1956 (when Cook and LA Counties were the largest and second-largest counties, respectively, but Nassau was #13 in 1952 and #12 in 1956). LA County was slightly more Republican than the country in 1952, but Nassau County was much more so (and LA County had voted, albeit narrowly, for Truman in 1948, whereas Nassau had last voted Democratic in 1912).
Joseph Boyle connected Orange County's previous status as the habitual best Republican raw vote margin county to its status as the 'solid center of the conservative movement'. At the same time, he discounts the possibility of this status transferring to Montgomery County, Texas, the county that has held this distinction for two elections in a row now, due ot its relatively small ranking in population amongst all the nation's counties. (Indeed, it is quite far from being a 'mega county'.)
As argued here, one could argue that by the Bush years, Tarrant County had become the centre of the conservative movement and the big-county emblem of the conservatism of the era. It was never Bush's best raw vote margin county, but it was the only mega county, in both of his elections, that gave him over 60% of the vote (as Dewey, Nixon, and Ford all received in Orange County in 1948, 1960, 1968, and 1976 [and as Dewey received in Nassau County in 1948 and even in 1944]).
Conversely, the Democracy doesn't seem to have ever had a single 'solid centre', at least in the 20th century. It seems likely that in many or perhaps most elections leading up to 1892, Manhattan enjoyed the distinction of being the best Democratic raw vote margin county, given comments such as these by Sean Wilentz:
The Democratic Party, as a modern political party, dates back to 1828, when Andrew Jackson crushed John Quincy Adams to win the presidency. Yet without the votes of workers and small farmers in Pennsylvania and Ohio, as well as a strong Democratic turnout in New York City, Jackson would have lost the Electoral College in a landslide.
and these, in October 1880, by Emery A. Storrs:
The Democratic party of to-day is substantially the Democratic party of 1860. It had a solid South then; it has a solid South now. It rallied around its banners then the great mass of the dangerous classes in the large cities; it rallies them still. The draft-rioters of 1863 in the city of New York were Democrats; those who survive are still Democrats.
However, Storrs also connects the Democracy with big cities in general, and it is likely default Democratic dominance in big cities that gives the party its more de-centred character (which likely persists even though it seems likely that LA County will remain the best Democratic raw vote margin county indefinitely). Chris Palko wrote after the 2012 election simply that '[e]ver since the New Deal, the Democratic Party has been known as the party of big cities. Perhaps the most basic fact of American politics is the divide between Democratic cities and Republican rural areas.'
That said, Storrs' linkage of big cities in general to the Democracy is likely overstated. Aside from Philadelphia County, St Louis City (which 'identified itself economically and politically with the Northeast') also tended to be Republican until 1928, although not by as large margins. And even though Suffolk, MA (essentially coterminous with Boston) was amongst Cleveland's best raw vote margin counties in all three of his elections, it voted Republican from 1856 through 1872 and, before that, Whig in 1836, 1840, 1844, and 1848.
Palko dates Democratic ascendancy in the large cities back to the New Deal. However, Palko seems to be conflating 'cities'/'urban areas' with 'large-population counties'. For example:
George W. Bush ran 3 points ahead of Mitt Romney in the national popular vote, but the difference was not distributed evenly across urban and non-urban areas. In the top 100 most-populated counties measured by the 2010 Census, Bush received 43 percent of the vote. Romney ran 5 points behind, earning 38 percent.
Some specific counties Palko mentions in the following paragraph are: Franklin, OH, Fairfax, VA, Mecklenburg, NC, and Marion, IN. Fairfax has no large city. The other three do, but in another post-mortem of the 2012 election, Nate Cohn called Franklin County (presumably in Ohio, although he didn't say so outright) a 'moderate Democratic-leaning [suburb]' (along with Fairfax, Oakland, and another county anchored by a large city, Hennepin). He doesn't address Mecklenburg or Marion, but he terms Wake County, NC (another county containing a large city) an 'affluent and well-educated suburban [county]' (along with Jefferson, CO, Chester, PA, Loudoun, VA, and Somerset, NJ).
Regardless of how one characterises these counties, if Franklin, Fairfax, Mecklenburg, and Marion are 'urban counties', then Democratic ascendancy amongst 'urban counties' has not been as longstanding as Palko introduces his article by saying it has been.
Still, from 1932 on, Democrats have always done disproportionately well in terms of winning the bulk of the very large county raw vote margins. In every close postwar election (1948, 1960, 1968, 1976), the Republican consistently won significantly fewer counties by 0.1%/0.075% of the national vote than the Democrat did. Even Gerald Ford--probably the close-election postwar Republican who was most successful in the large counties--saw his biggest county raw vote margin outdone by five of Carter's. And in his decisive 7.72%, 426-112 national win over Dukakis in 1988, George H. W. Bush still won a minority of the major county margins (36.36%), and won only just as many counties by 0.075% of the national vote as Dukakis.
Hence, even when there have been multiple large, powerfully Republican counties, they still stood out in a way that large, powerfully Democratic counties have not, because the latter have nearly always been the rule rather than the exception. In 1990, for example, Thomas B. Edsall (and/or the Republican voting analyst John Morgan, whom he was paraphrasing) counterposed specific then-powerfully Republican suburban counties such as Orange, CA, DuPage, IL, and Oakland, MI simply to 'Democratic big-city margins'. (Edsall also reported Morgan mentioning 'Democrats' margin in areas like Detroit, Cook County and New York's boroughs'; in the immediately preceding election, Dukakis' raw vote margin in Cook and in one of New York's boroughs [Manhattan] was each larger than Bush Sr's raw vote margin from any county save Orange, CA; and Dukakis' raw vote margin from each of Cook, Wayne, Manhattan, Brooklyn, and The Bronx was larger than Bush Sr's raw vote margin from any but three counties [Orange, Maricopa, and San Diego County]. [And Dukakis, of course, was, again, losing the election rather badly.])
One period when large, powerfully Democratic counties might have stood out in a way that counties such as Orange, DuPage, Oakland, Tarrant, and Cobb have at various points in the recent past is the period from 1896 to 1924. In 1916, Woodrow Wilson became possibly the only Democrat ever to win the presidency despite not winning the largest county raw vote margin--his best raw vote margin county was Orleans Parish, an urban parish to be sure, but distinctly smaller than a number of Northeastern urban counties (such as Hughes' best raw vote margin county of Philadelphia County, and Cleveland's best raw vote margin county of Manhattan). In 1896--the 'revolutionary autumn' which was the only election in which 'Bryan came close to being elected president'--Bryan's best raw vote margin county was Arapahoe, CO (which at the time included Denver). Manhattan, which would come back to Bryan in his more hopeless 1900 bid, outright deserted him on this occasion. On these occasions, Bryan's and Wilson's best raw vote margin counties were distinguished by being population centres in relatively agrarian regions (the West, the South)--and by not being population centres (or at least, not amongst the top population centres) at the national level.
In the post-New Deal era, it is, to some degree, illuminating to see what are the first 'non-big-city' counties to show up amongst a given Democratic nominee's best raw vote margin counties, although there are so many big-city counties that it is not all that interesting, especially after the Eisenhower years (Eisenhower having been the last Republican to win a number of large big-city counties, hence causing their omission altogether from the Democrats' best raw vote margin counties). For this reason, I extended the list of Stevenson's, McGovern's, Carter's (in 1980), and Mondale's best raw vote margin counties to those giving them a margin equal to 1/6 of 0.1% of the national vote (even though Carter in 1980 was not losing in a landslide). Stevenson in '52 carried a significant number of counties by at least 1/6 of 0.1% of the national vote that went on to vote for Trump in 2020: Westmoreland, PA, Washington, PA, Fayette, PA, Mahoning, OH, Madison, IL, McDowell, WV, Spartanburg, SC, and Cambria, PA. Apart from Spartanburg, all of these remained loyally Democratic up until sometime between 2000 and 2020 (inclusive).
In the case of Stevenson in '56, McGovern, Carter in '80, and Mondale, there are many fewer instances of this. No county McGovern and Carter in 1980 carried by at least 1/6 of 0.1% of the national vote has gone on to vote for any losing or narrow-election Republican thereafter. In 1956, Stevenson netted at least 1/6 of 0.1% of the national vote out of Fayette, PA (as well as out of Fresno, CA, which went through a brief Republican-leaning stage, in which it voted for Dole and for George W. Bush twice, before turning blue again); and Mondale did so out of Mahoning, OH and Beaver and Washington Counties, PA. However, there is one county that shows up in all five lists, which, while it has not turned red, is a county that appears to have bcome permanently less blue with Trump: St Louis County, MN. Trump's 39.7% there in 2016 was the highest vote share of any Republican since 1972, and his 41.0% in 2020, even though it was a landslide loss, the highest of any Republican since 1932.
More recently, a number of large, suburban counties, former Republican strongholds, have, without too much difficulty, been showing up in high places amongst Democrats' best raw vote margin counties. However, there have also been some slightly smaller counties that have also been showing up, where Democrats' vote shares have been particularly high (as would be necessary to compensate for their smaller size). In contrast to counties such as St Louis County, MN, Mahoning, OH, or Washington, PA, these tend to be characterisable as 'ideopolitan' counties or, in some cases, perhaps, 'lifestyle-community' counties (albeit fairly large ones that also have a general suburban character as well). One can see this begin particularly with McGovern, amongst whose best raw vote margin counties (even as he lost places such as Mahoning, OH and Westmoreland, PA) were Dane, WI and Middlesex, MA (home to the bulk of the Route 128 technology area, which predated Silicon Valley). Dane, in particular, was not even a mega county (which made it proportionally harder for anyone to draw a particularly large margin out of it). Also amongst McGovern's best raw vote margin counties was San Francisco, a big-city county and (at the time) a mega county, but also one with a particularly 'post-industrial' economy. All of Dane, Middlesex, and San Francisco had voted for Eisenhower twice. Middlesex was not amongst Carter's or Mondale's best raw vote margin counties in 1980 or 1984, but Dane and San Francisco were, and were joined by another relatively 'post-industrial' big-city county (but not that big--it wasn't a mega county at the time) that had not been particularly loyal to the Democracy even since the New Deal (having not only voted for Eisenhower twice, but for Nixon in 1960 as well): Multnomah, OR.
In 2020, Biden netted at least 0.1% of the national vote out of each of Santa Clara, CA, Middlesex, MA, San Francisco, CA, Montgomery, MD ('DNA Alley'), Multnomah, OR, Fairfax, VA (the focal county of 'the Netplex'), Denver, CO (another post-industrial city that voted for Eisenhower twice and only narrowly voted for Kennedy and Carter in 1960 and 1976), still-not-a-mega-county Dane, WI, and Wake, NC. In addition, he netted at least 100,000 votes (or, in 2020, about 0.063% of the national vote) out of Sonoma, CA, Boulder, CO, Marin, CA, and Washtenaw, MI (the last of which was the largest Nixon '68-McGovern '72 county)--all relatively modestly-sized counties which he won by over 50% (except Washtenaw, which he won by 46.5%). (Meanwhile, even though he not only managed to retain it but defeated Trump handily in it, Biden's raw-vote margin out of St Louis County, MN constituted just ~0.012% of the national vote.) Michael Tuttle suggested Marin County as a Democratic analogue to Orange County in 2019 (noting in passing that it was 'not very urban at all'). And of course, Marin County was the subject of George H. W. Bush's famous description of it as a county of 'hot tubbers', which would seem incongruous to apply to, say, Cook County or any of New York City's boroughs.
Conversely, in the past, Mahoning County appears to have been a non-big-city county that was at least occasionally seen as emblematic of the Democratic Party (or, at any rate, of a certain idea of the Democratic Party). In the portion of its analysis of the 1980 election that it dedicated to Ohio, for example, the CQ Almanac mentioned only two counties by name: Cuyahoga and Mahoning:
Ohio mirrored Carter's problems nationally. He carried it narrowly in 1976 by rolling up a lead of nearly 100,000 votes in the state's major urban center, Cuyahoga County (Cleveland), sweeping the other traditionally Democratic industrial centers of northern Ohio and making deep inroads into the normally Republican rural vote. In 1980, his pluralities in Cuyahoga County and economically depressed industrial centers like Mahoning County (Youngstown) were trimmed in half, and the rural appeal that he had displayed as an outsider in 1976 had evaporated. The result was that Reagan carried Ohio by more than 450,000 votes.
And, towards the end of their 2002 analysis of the 2000 election, Judis and Teixeira single out Mahoning County (or, at any rate, its principal city) to place alongside the state of West Virginia as emblematic, if not of what the Democratic Party was, then of what the Democratic Party used to be:
The Bush administration can scour the coal pits of West Virginia or the boarded up steel mills of Youngstown for converts, but America's future lies in places like Silicon Valley and North Carolina's Research Triangle.
(The reference to Youngstown was particularly prescient and perhaps at the time even a bit risky; even as George W. Bush had become the first Republican since 1924 to carry West Virginia despite getting less than 55.5% of the national vote, Gore still scored over 60% in Mahoning County. And, as West Virginia got redder and redder over the next three elections, Mahoning County continued to give Democrats greater than 1.5-to-1 wins--with perhaps the only slight hint of trouble being that Obama went slightly backward in the county in 2008, despite a big national Democratic swing. It was only in 2016 and 2020 that Judis' and Teixeira's veiled hypothesis that the Republican Party would find converts in Mahoning County was borne out.)
Conversely, even though Marin County is a large, suburban county--it gave Republicans their sixth-largest raw vote margin in California in 1948, 1960, and 1976, as they either narrowly carried or narowly lost the state (bearing out both its recent loyal Republicanism and its size)--George H. W. Bush's 2002 reference to it as a county of 'hot tubbers' distinguished it as a 'lifestyle community' (at least in perception)--as 'a home for superannuated hippies, lying around in hot tubs listening to Grateful Dead tapes with a joint in one hand and a glass of Chardonnay in the other'. It is significant, then, that, beneath the inexorably consistent pluralities rolled up by the Democracy in the big-city counties, at some point (perhaps around 2002) Marin replaced Mahoning as the non-big-city county most associated with the Democracy in the popular imagination.
Comments
Post a Comment