Largest Clinton '96 margins in Bush '00 turnover counties

Counties in which Clinton's raw vote margin in 1996 was also over 1,000 votes

Arkansas, AR (63.00%-28.52%) (margin: 34.48%)
Prairie, AR (61.85%-28.67%) (margin: 33.17%)
Avoyelles, LA (59.0%-27.0%) (margin: 32.0%)
Red River, LA (61.5%-31.3%) (margin: 30.2%)
St Martin, LA (60.2%-30.4%) (margin: 29.8%)
Howard, AR (59.18%-31.91%) (margin: 27.27%)
Union, KY (57.3%-30.6%) (margin: 26.7%)
Sevier, AR (57.69%-31.16%) (margin: 26.53%)
Allen, LA (55.7%-29.3%) (margin: 26.4%)
DeSoto, LA (59.1%-33.5%) (margin: 25.6%)
Webster, KY (55.9%-30.7%) (margin: 25.2%)

These are all the counties where Clinton's '96 margin was over 25%. They are all in three Southern states: Louisiana (with five), Arkansas (with four), and Kentucky (with two). All of these counties have gone on to vote Republican in 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020.

Nicholas, WV (55.9%-31.0%) (margin: 24.9%)
Yell, AR (56.43%-31.77%) (margin: 24.66%)
Carbon, UT (55.0%-30.9%) (margin: 24.1%)
Conway, AR (55.69%-31.68%) (margin: 24.01%)
Fulton, AR (55.91%-31.99%) (margin: 23.92%)
Shoshone, ID (50.1%-26.7%) (margin: 23.4%)
Hancock, WV (53.6%-30.4%) (margin: 23.2%)
Vermilion, LA (55.6%-33.8%) (margin: 21.8%)
Saline, IL (52.8%-31.7%) (margin: 21.1%)
Randolph, WV (54.2%-33.2%) (margin: 21.02%)
East Feliciana, LA (56.1%-35.1%) (margin: 21.01%)
Marshall, OK (53.4%-32.7%) (margin: 20.74%)
Koochiching, MN (51.6%-30.9%) (margin: 20.68%)
Orleans, VT (51.4%-31.2%) (margin: 20.3%)
Webster, LA (55.3%-35.1%) (margin: 20.2%)

These round out the counties in which the margin was over 20%. Koochiching, MN and Orleans, VT are the only ones that have gone on to vote Democratic in any subsequent election. 

These are the counties whose percent margin for Clinton in '96 was over 25%, but whose raw vote margin for Clinton was less than 1,000, that flipped to Bush in 2000:

Foard, TX (62.0%-29.0%) (margin: 33.0%)
Fisher, TX (61.8%-29.0%) margin: 32.8%)
Clay, WV (58.0%-31.8%) (margin: 26.2%)
Schoolcraft, MI (56.5%-31.0%) (margin: 25.5%)
Calhoun, AR (56.98%-31.72%) (margin: 25.26%)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

electoral tak

County flips from 1920 on

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Tennessee-Virginia)