Bellwether Counties, 2000-2020
(The percentages are how the counties voted in the 2016 election.) October 2000 Bush Logan, AR ( 72.54% - 21.65% ) Van Buren, AR ( 73.33% - 21.11% ) Vigo, IN ( 54.7% - 39.7% ) Lincoln, MO ( 72.3% - 22.2% ) Eddy, NM ( 66.9% - 25.6% ) Valencia, NM ( 47.9% - 39.3% ) Gore New Castle, DE ( 62.0% - 32.5% ) Socorro, NM ( 48.2% - 38.1% ) October 2004 Bush Garland, AR ( 63.93% - 30.17% ) Logan, AR ( 72.54% - 21.65% ) Madison, AR ( 72.04% - 23.21% ) Marion, AR ( 75.08% - 20.18% ) Van Buren, AR ( 73.33% - 21.11% ) Washington, AR ( 50.67% - 40.76% ) Fayette, IL ( 77.31% - 19.08% ) Greene, IL ( 74.64% - 21.70% ) Hamilton, IL ( 77.33% - 19.34% ) Hardin, IL ( 77.35% - 19.65% ) Marion, IL ( 70.00% - 25.79% ) Mason, IL ( 62.94% - 31.24% ) Massac, IL ( 72.98% - 23.46% ) Moultrie, IL ( 71.65% - 23.82% ) Shelby, IL ( 74.48% - 20.71% ) Union, IL ( 67.81% - 28.13% ) White, IL ( 77.36% - 19.37% ) Crawford, IN ( 65.0% - 28.5% ) Gibson, IN ( 71.6% - 24.0% ) Jefferson, IN ( 62.6% - 31.7% ) Knox, IN ( 71.4% - 24...