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Showing posts from March, 2021

One-county state wins

This list seeks to enumerate all the instances in which one county handed a state to a presidential nominee from 1880 on. It also lists the counties, each of which individually handed a given state to a nominee in a given election. Sometimes (often, actually), there is more than one county which gave the nominee a larger raw-vote margin than he or she won the state by. If there is only one, that may be significant, as the Orange County Register alluded to after the 2016 election: As of this writing, Clinton’s lead in the popular vote nationwide was 1.7 million. Clinton’s lead in California was 3.5 million. That means, when all the votes are counted and Clinton’s popular-vote edge is official, it probably will in a manner of speaking have hinged entirely on the results in California. This is rare: In the Bush-Gore election, four states gave Gore vote margins larger than his 543,895-vote national margin. The last time a single state’s voting accounted for a candidate’s national vo...

Top conservative friendly counties, 1990 and 2021?

In 2010, Chris Palko compiled a list of the 'top 20 conservative-friendly counties' (setting a population threshold of 50,000). Electoral behaviour in the prior two elections was one criterion, although not the only one. The lowest vote share any of them gave Bush in 2004 was 66.05% (Delaware County, Ohio), and the lowest vote share any of them gave McCain in 2008 was 58.03% (Douglas County, Colorado). (This is not including #20 Mat-Su Borough, as Alaska does not report election results by borough.) I hypothesised that a similar list compiled in 1990 would have a higher population threshold (for the sake of convenience, say, having cast at least 100,000 votes in 1988), but a somewhat lower vote share threshold--perhaps having given Bush Sr at least 60 % of its vote in 1988.  If Palko had used these two criteria in 2010 (applying them to the 2004 election), he would have had these 37 counties (the 37 counties that cast at least 100,000 votes in 2004, in which Bush got over 60...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (master list of posts)

Republicans, Alabama-Colorado Republicans, Connecticut-Hawaii Republicans, Idaho-Kansas Republicans, Kentucky-Massachusetts Republicans, Michigan-Montana Republicans, Nebraska-New Mexico Republicans, New York-Oklahoma Republicans, Oregon-South Dakota Republicans, Tennessee-Virginia Republicans, Washington-Wyoming Democrats, Alabama-Colorado Democrats, Connecticut-Hawaii Democrats, Idaho-Kansas Democrats, Kentucky-Massachusetts Democrats, Michigan-Montana Democrats, Nebraska-New Mexico Democrats, New York-Oklahoma Democrats, Oregon-South Dakota Democrats, Tennessee-Virginia Democrats, Washington-Wyoming -- The movement of the title of the biggest county vote trove in given states for the two parties (as well as the relative magnitudes of the raw vote margins received out of those counties) can correlate interestingly with certain realignments. For example, the title of biggest Republican vote trove in Virginia moved to Arlington County in 1928, and then again in 1948, having in both cas...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Washington-Wyoming)

WASHINGTON 1892: Columbia 1896: Spokane 1900: Stevens 1904: n/a 1908: n/a 1912: Douglas 1916: King 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: Ferry 1932: King 1936: King 1940: King 1944: King 1948: Pierce 1952: Kitsap 1956: Snohomish 1960: Pierce 1964: King 1968: Pierce 1972: Grays Harbor 1976: Grays Harbor 1980: Grays Harbor 1984: Grays Harbor 1988: King 1992: King 1996: King 2000: King 2004: King 2008: King 2012: King 2016: King 2020: King WEST VIRGINIA 1916: Hampshire 1920: Jefferson 1924: Jefferson 1928: Boone 1932: Cabell 1936: McDowell 1940: Kanawha 1944: Kanawha 1948: Fayette 1952: McDowell 1956: Fayette 1960: McDowell 1964: Kanawha 1968: Fayette 1972: Logan 1976: Kanawha 1980: Fayette 1984: Logan 1988: Logan 1992: Logan 1996: Kanawha 2000: Logan 2004: McDowell 2008: Monongalia 2012: n/a 2016: n/a 2020: n/a WISCONSIN 1892: Dodge 1896: Ozaukee 1900: Dodge 1904: Dodge 1908: Dodge 1912: Milwaukee 1916: Milwaukee 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: Milwaukee 1932: Milwaukee 1936: Milwaukee 1940: Milwaukee 194...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Tennessee-Virginia)

TENNESSEE 1880: Lincoln 1884: Lincoln 1888: Shelby 1892: Davidson 1896: Madison 1900: Davidson 1904: Shelby 1908: Davidson 1912: Davidson 1916: Shelby 1920: Shelby 1924: Davidson 1928: Shelby 1932: Shelby 1936: Shelby 1940: Shelby 1944: Shelby 1948: Davidson 1952: Davidson 1956: Davidson 1960: Davidson 1964: Davidson 1968: Shelby 1972: Stewart 1976: Davidson 1980: Davidson 1984: Humphreys 1988: Grundy 1992: Shelby 1996: Shelby 2000: Shelby 2004: Shelby 2008: Shelby 2012: Shelby 2016: Shelby 2020: Shelby TEXAS 1916: Dallas 1920: Dallas 1924: Dallas 1928: Fayette 1932: Harris 1936: Harris 1940: Harris 1944: Harris 1948: Tarrant 1952: Navarro 1956: Bell 1960: Bexar 1964: Harris 1968: Bexar 1972: Duval 1976: Bexar 1980: Jefferson 1984: Jefferson 1988: Hidalgo 1992: Travis 1996: El Paso 2000: El Paso 2004: Travis 2008: Travis 2012: Dallas 2016: Dallas 2020: Dallas UTAH 1896: Salt Lake 1900: Washington 1904: Washington 1908: Washington 1912: Cache 1916: Salt Lake 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: Ca...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Oregon-South Dakota)

OREGON 1880: Jackson 1884: Jackson 1888: Jackson 1892: Crook 1896: Jackson 1900: Baker 1904: n/a 1908: n/a 1912: Multnomah 1916: Baker 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: n/a 1932: Multnomah 1936: Multnomah 1940: Multnomah 1944: Multnomah 1948: Multnomah 1952: Columbia 1956: Coos 1960: Coos 1964: Multnomah 1968: Multnomah 1972: Multnomah 1976: Multnomah 1980: Multnomah 1984: Multnomah 1988: Multnomah 1992: Multnomah 1996: Multnomah 2000: Multnomah 2004: Multnomah 2008: Multnomah 2012: Multnomah 2016: Multnomah 2020: Multnomah PENNSYLVANIA 1880: Berks 1884: Berks 1888: Berks 1892: Berks 1896: Berks 1900: Berks 1904: Monroe 1908: Berks 1912: York 1916: Berks 1920: Greene 1924: Greene 1928: Lackawanna 1932: Allegheny 1936: Philadelphia 1940: Philadelphia 1944: Philadelphia 1948: Allegheny 1952: Philadelphia 1956: Philadelphia 1960: Philadelphia 1964: Philadelphia 1968: Philadelphia 1972: Philadelphia 1976: Philadelphia 1980: Philadelphia 1984: Philadelphia 1988: Philadelphia 1992: Philadelphia 1996...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, New York-Oklahoma)

NEW YORK 1888: Manhattan 1892: Manhattan 1896: Schoharie 1900: Manhattan 1904: Manhattan 1908: Manhattan 1912: Manhattan 1916: Manhattan 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: Brooklyn 1932: Brooklyn 1936: Brooklyn 1940: Brooklyn 1944: Brooklyn 1948: Brooklyn 1952: Brooklyn 1956: Brooklyn 1960: Brooklyn 1964: Brooklyn 1968: Brooklyn 1972: Manhattan 1976: Brooklyn 1980: Manhattan 1984: Manhattan 1988: Manhattan 1992: Manhattan 1996: Brooklyn 2000: Brooklyn 2004: Manhattan 2008: Manhattan 2012: Brooklyn 2016: Manhattan 2020: Manhattan NORTH CAROLINA 1880: Catawba 1884: Catawba 1888: Catawba 1892: Johnston 1896: Union 1900: New Hanover 1904: Mecklenburg 1908: Mecklenburg 1912: Mecklenburg 1916: Mecklenburg 1920: Mecklenburg 1924: Mecklenburg 1928: Halifax 1932: Mecklenburg 1936: Mecklenburg 1940: Mecklenburg 1944: Mecklenburg 1948: Wake 1952: Pitt 1956: Pitt 1960: Pitt 1964: Buncombe 1968: Durham 1972: Orange 1976: Robeson 1980: Robeson 1984: Orange 1988: Orange 1992: Durham 1996: Durham 2000: Durham ...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Michigan-Montana)

MICHIGAN 1884: Wayne 1888: Wayne 1892: Wayne 1896: St Joseph 1900: St Joseph 1904: n/a 1908: n/a 1912: Lenawee/Monroe (tie) 1916: Kent 1920: n/a * 1924: n/a 1928: n/a 1932: Wayne 1936: Wayne 1940: Wayne 1944: Wayne 1948: Wayne 1952: Wayne 1956: Wayne 1960: Wayne 1964: Wayne 1968: Wayne 1972: Wayne 1976: Wayne 1980: Wayne 1984: Wayne 1988: Wayne 1992: Wayne 1996: Wayne 2000: Wayne 2004: Wayne 2008: Wayne 2012: Wayne 2016: Wayne 2020: Wayne * See here for discussion of Manistee County in 1920. MINNESOTA 1896: Polk 1900: Stearns 1904: n/a 1908: Stearns 1912: ? 1916: Ramsey 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: Stearns 1932: Hennepin 1936: Hennepin 1940: St Louis County 1944: St Louis County 1948: Ramsey 1952: St Louis County 1956: St Louis County 1960: Ramsey 1964: Hennepin 1968: Ramsey 1972: St Louis County 1976: Ramsey 1980: Ramsey 1984: Ramsey 1988: Ramsey 1992: Hennepin 1996: Hennepin 2000: Hennepin 2004: Hennepin 2008: Hennepin 2012: Hennepin 2016: Hennepin 2020: Hennepin MISSISSIPPI 1892: Hind...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Nebraska-New Mexico)

NEBRASKA 1880: Cedar 1884: Platte 1888: Douglas 1892: n/a 1896: Custer 1900: Butler 1904: n/a 1908: Douglas 1912: Douglas 1916: Douglas 1920: n/a 1924: Howard 1928: Colfax 1932: Douglas 1936: Douglas 1940: Douglas 1944: Douglas 1948: Douglas 1952: n/a 1956: Saline 1960: Saline 1964: Douglas 1968: Saline 1972: n/a 1976: Saline 1980: n/a 1984: n/a 1988: Saline 1992: Saline 1996: Saline 2000: n/a 2004: Thurston 2008: Douglas 2012: Thurston 2016: Douglas 2020: Douglas NEVADA 1880: Storey 1884: Humboldt 1888: Humboldt 1892: n/a 1896: Elko 1900: Elko 1904: n/a 1908: Esmeralda 1912: Elko 1916: White Pine 1920: Clark 1924: Ormsby 1928: Nye 1932: Clark 1936: Washoe 1940: Clark 1944: Clark 1948: Clark 1952: Mineral 1956: Clark 1960: Clark 1964: Clark 1968: Clark 1972: n/a 1976: Clark 1980: n/a 1984: n/a 1988: n/a 1992: Clark 1996: Clark 2000: Clark 2004: Clark 2008: Clark 2012: Clark 2016: Clark 2020: Clark NEW HAMPSHIRE 1876: Carroll 1880: Coös 1884: Coös 1888: Coös 1892: Coös 1896: n/a 1900: n...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Kentucky-Massachusetts)

KENTUCKY 1880: Jefferson 1884: Jefferson 1888: Jefferson 1892: Jefferson 1896: Graves 1900: Graves 1904: Graves 1908: Graves 1912: Kenton 1916: Kenton 1920: Graves 1924: Graves 1928: Graves 1932: Kenton 1936: Jefferson 1940: Jefferson 1944: Jefferson 1948: Kenton 1952: Graves 1956: McCracken 1960: Floyd 1964: Jefferson 1968: Floyd 1972: Floyd 1976: McCracken 1980: Floyd 1984: Floyd 1988: Floyd 1992: Jefferson 1996: Jefferson 2000: Floyd 2004: Jefferson 2008: Jefferson 2012: Jefferson 2016: Jefferson 2020: Jefferson LOUISIANA 1916: Orleans 1920: Orleans 1924: Orleans 1928: Orleans 1932: Orleans 1936: Orleans 1940: Orleans 1944: Orleans 1948: Calcasieu 1952: Washington 1956: Acadia 1960: Orleans 1964: Calcasieu 1968: Orleans 1972: West Feliciana 1976: Orleans 1980: Orleans 1984: Orleans 1988: Orleans 1992: Orleans 1996: Orleans 2000: Orleans 2004: Orleans 2008: Orleans 2012: Orleans 2016: Orleans 2020: Orleans MAINE 1880: Waldo 1884: n/a 1888: n/a 1892: n/a 1896: n/a 1900: Knox 1904: n/a...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Idaho-Kansas)

IDAHO 1892: n/a (not on ballot) 1896: Fremont 1900: Blaine 1904: n/a 1908: Custer 1912: Kootenai 1916: Shoshone 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: Fremont 1932: Bannock 1936: Bannock 1940: Bannock 1944: Bannock 1948: Bannock 1952: Clearwater 1956: Nez Perce 1960: Bannock 1964: Bannock 1968: Nez Perce 1972: n/a 1976: Clearwater 1980: n/a 1984: n/a 1988: Shoshone 1992: Latah 1996: Latah 2000: Blaine 2004: Blaine 2008: Blaine 2012: Blaine 2016: Blaine 2020: Blaine ILLINOIS 1892: Cook 1896: Pike 1900: Pike 1904: Greene 1908: Greene 1912: Adams 1916: Greene 1920: Union 1924: Union 1928: St Clair 1932: Cook 1936: Cook 1940: Cook 1944: Cook 1948: Cook 1952: St Clair 1956: St Clair 1960: Cook 1964: Cook 1968: Cook 1972: Jackson 1976: Cook 1980: Cook 1984: Cook 1988: Cook 1992: Cook 1996: Cook 2000: Cook 2004: Cook 2008: Cook 2012: Cook 2016: Cook 2020: Cook INDIANA 1888: Allen 1892: Allen 1896: Dubois 1900: Allen 1904: Dubois 1908: Allen 1912: ? 1916: Vigo 1920: Sullivan 1924: Dubois 1928: Dubois 1932:...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Democrats, Connecticut-Hawaii)

CONNECTICUT 1884: Hartford 1888: Hartford 1892: Hartford 1896: n/a 1900: n/a 1904: n/a 1908: n/a 1912: New Haven 1916: Hartford 1920: n/a 1924: n/a 1928: New Haven 1932: New Haven 1936: New Haven 1940: Hartford 1944: Hartford 1948: Hartford 1952: n/a 1956: n/a 1960: Hartford 1964: Hartford 1968: Hartford 1972: n/a 1976: Hartford 1980: Hartford 1984: n/a 1988: Hartford 1992: Hartford 1996: Hartford 2000: Hartford 2004: Hartford 2008: Hartford 2012: Hartford 2016: Hartford 2020: Fairfield DELAWARE 1912: New Castle 1916: Kent 1920: Kent 1924: Kent 1928: n/a 1932: Kent 1936: New Castle 1940: New Castle 1944: New Castle 1948: New Castle 1952: n/a 1956: n/a 1960: New Castle 1964: New Castle 1968: n/a 1972: n/a 1976: New Castle 1980: n/a 1984: n/a 1988: n/a 1992: New Castle 1996: New Castle 2000: New Castle 2004: New Castle 2008: New Castle 2012: New Castle 2016: New Castle 2020: New Castle FLORIDA 1892: Hillsborough 1896: Jefferson 1900: Hillsborough 1904: Hillsborough 1908: Hillsborough 191...

Counties providing each party with their biggest raw-vote margins in the various states (Republicans, Washington-Wyoming)

WASHINGTON 1892: King 1896: Pacific 1900: Pierce 1904: King 1908: King 1912: Chehalis 1916: Whatcom 1920: King 1924: King 1928: King 1932: n/a 1936: n/a 1940: Yakima 1944: Yakima 1948: Yakima 1952: King 1956: King 1960: King 1964: Lincoln 1968: Yakima 1972: King 1976: King 1980: King 1984: King 1988: Benton 1992: Benton 1996: Benton 2000: Benton 2004: Spokane 2008: Benton 2012: Benton 2016: Benton 2020: Benton WEST VIRGINIA 1916: McDowell 1920: McDowell 1924: McDowell 1928: Kanawha 1932: McDowell 1936: Upshur 1940: Preston 1944: Preston 1948: Upshur 1952: Wood 1956: Cabell 1960: Wood 1964: Grant 1968: Wood 1972: Kanawha 1976: Grant 1980: Wood 1984: Kanawha 1988: Wood 1992: Berkeley 1996: Wood 2000: Wood 2004: Wood 2008: Wood 2012: Raleigh 2016: Wood 2020: Raleigh WISCONSIN 1892: Rock 1896: Milwaukee 1900: Milwaukee 1904: Milwaukee 1908: Rock 1912: Vernon 1916: Rock 1920: Milwaukee 1924: Rock 1928: Rock 1932: Rock 1936: Walworth 1940: Waupaca 1944: Outagamie 1948: Walworth 1952: Outagam...